Lens vs Strasbourg Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this cracker of a match! We've got third-placed Lens welcoming fourth-placed Strasbourg in what's shaping up to be a right proper battle at the top of Ligue 1. Both sides are bang in form and this could be a right belter.

Lens have been absolutely unstoppable at home, mate. They've won every single one of their last five home games - that's 100% win rate, no messing about. They're banging in 2.60 goals per game on their own patch while only letting in 0.60. Just look at their recent home results: they smashed Monaco 4-1, put three past Lorient, and beat Marseille 2-1. The only teams that've managed to beat Lens recently are PSG and Metz, and even then, Lens were still creating chances.

Strasbourg are no mugs either, mind. They're sitting pretty in fourth place and know how to find the back of the net. They're averaging 2.20 goals per game overall and 2.00 when they're on the road. But here's the thing - they're also a bit leaky away from home, letting in 2.40 goals per game on their travels. They showed what they can do by drawing 3-3 with PSG recently, but then got thumped 4-1 by Rennes. Classic Strasbourg - brilliant one minute, vulnerable the next.

When these two have met in the past, it's been pretty even stevens. Lens have won four, Strasbourg three, with two draws. The last time they played, Strasbourg nicked it 2-0, but Lens have actually won two of the four meetings on their own patch.

Looking at the stats, both teams love a goal. Strasbourg have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, while Lens are at 50%. With Lens scoring for fun at home and Strasbourg both scoring and conceding plenty on the road, we could be in for a right goal fest.

The bookies have Lens as slight favorites at 2.00, but honestly, I'm more interested in the goals market. Both teams to score is priced at 1.57, and given that Lens average 3.2 total goals at home while Strasbourg's away games average 4.4 total goals, that looks like it could be value for money.

Key Points:

• Lens are unbeaten in their last 5 home games (100% win rate)

• Strasbourg score 2.00 goals per game away but concede 2.40

• Both teams have scored in 70% of Strasbourg's recent matches

• Lens average 2.60 goals scored at home

• The last H2H saw Strasbourg win 2-0

This has all the makings of a cracking game with plenty of goals. Lens's home form is formidable, but Strasbourg know how to score and their away games tend to be open affairs. I'm backing both teams to find the net in what should be a proper entertaining match.