Curzon Ashton vs Buxton Prediction

Hey there, my friends! Pajimon here. It's time for some serious football talk, no politics, just the beautiful game. We are looking at Curzon Ashton vs Buxton in the National League North, kicking off on 2026-04-18.

Curzon Ashton are sitting 19th with 51 points. Their recent form is worrying. In the last 10 games, they've only won once. At home, it's even worse—zero wins in their last four fixtures. They are conceding an average of 2.00 goals per home game. Not good for the BBQ budget if you're backing them! Their last home results include losses to Southport (1-3), Chester (0-1), and Macclesfield (0-2). They are struggling to find the net, averaging just 0.75 goals per home game.

On the other side, Buxton are flying high. 9th place, 67 points. Their last 10 games show 7 wins. Away from home, they are a beast, winning 5 of their last 6 away games. They are only conceding 0.67 goals per away game. That's a solid defense, my friends. Their recent away results include wins over Scarborough Athletic (2-0), Worksop Town (1-2), and Hereford (0-2). They are averaging 1.83 goals per away game.

Head-to-head history shows Curzon has done well at home against Buxton previously (2 wins, 1 draw in 3 meetings). But in betting, recent form is king. Buxton's attack is expected to score 1.92 goals, while Curzon is expected to score 0.71. The total goal expectancy is 2.63, suggesting goals will be scored.

The odds for an Away Win are 2.00. Given Buxton's 83% away win rate recently and Curzon's 0% home win rate, there is value here. The implied probability is 50%, but the real chance feels closer to 60%. That's a nice edge. Dit gaan 'n harde wedstryd wees (It will be a hard match), but Buxton looks like the clear favorite. Don't get caught eating vegetables when you could be enjoying the meat of the bet!

My pick: Buxton to win.

Key Points:

• Buxton has won 5 of last 6 away games.

• Curzon has 0 wins in last 4 home games.

• Buxton's defense is strong away (0.67 conceded/game).

• Curzon's defense is leaky at home (2.00 conceded/game).

• Value exists on Away Win at 2.00 odds.