Rangers vs Livingston Prediction

Rangers vs Livingston: Goals Galore on the Cards?

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one! Rangers welcome Livingston to town, and on paper, this looks like a mismatch of epic proportions. The Gers are sitting pretty in 4th with 18 points, while Livingston are propping up the table with a measly 8 points from 12 games. Ouch!

Now, Rangers haven't exactly been setting the heather alight recently, have they? Their last 10 games show 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. They had a decent 3-0 win at Dundee, but also got turned over 3-0 by Brann in Europe. At home, they've been a bit hit and miss - 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 3 on their own patch. Not exactly fortress-like, is it?

But Livingston? Blimey, they're absolutely dreadful at the moment. ZERO wins in their last 10 games! Just 4 draws and 6 losses. They're leaking goals like a sieve - 2 per game on average. Away from home, they've not won in 6 attempts, drawing 3 and losing 3. They did manage a 1-1 draw at Falkirk in their last outing, but that's about as good as it gets for them.

Here's the thing though - Rangers absolutely own this fixture. 8 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses in 9 meetings. They won the last meeting 2-1 back in September, and have won all 4 home games against Livingston. That's some serious domination!

The stats tell an interesting story - Rangers average 1.4 goals per game, Livingston just 0.9. But more importantly, Livingston concede 2 goals per game while Rangers concede 1.3. Both teams have been pretty generous at the back recently, with Rangers keeping just 2 clean sheets in 10 games and Livingston only 1.

Looking at the goal expectancy, we've got Rangers at 1.83 and Livingston at 1.17, which suggests we could be in for a few goals. And given Livingston's defensive record and Rangers' ability to score against them, I reckon we'll see the net bulge a few times.

Key Points:

  • Livingston are winless in 10 games (0W, 4D, 6L)
  • Rangers dominate the head-to-head: 8W, 1D, 0L in 9 meetings
  • Livingston concede 2 goals per game on average
n- Rangers have scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 9 wins against Livingston
  • Both teams have been conceding regularly recently

The bookies have Rangers as heavy favorites at 1.27 for the home win, but that's not much value for your money. Livingston are massive outsiders at 11.00, and frankly, you'd have to be brave to back them. The over 2.5 goals at 1.53 looks much more appealing given the defensive frailties on both sides, especially Livingston's.

I'm expecting Rangers to win this, but more importantly, I think we'll see plenty of goalmouth action. Livingston's defense is shocking, and even though Rangers haven't been brilliant at home recently, they should have enough to put a few past them. Livingston might even grab one themselves given Rangers have been conceding regularly.

Match time
Recommended Bet
OVER 2 5
Odds
1.53
+EV
+4.0%
Estimated Chance68%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN