Nacional vs Benfica Prediction

Benfica To Keep It Clean Against Struggling Nacional

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Nacional are sitting in 10th spot with 12 points from 11 games - not exactly setting the world alight, are they? Three wins, three draws, and five losses tells its own story. Benfica, meanwhile, are up there in third place with 25 points, and here's the kicker - they're UNBEATEN this season with seven wins and four draws.

But when you look at the head-to-head record, blimey, it's completely one-sided. Nine matches played between these two, and Nacional have won... wait for it... ZERO times. One draw and EIGHT losses. They've never beaten Benfica, home or away. The goal difference is staggering too - Nacional have scored just four goals in total while conceding 33. That's an average of getting thumped nearly four goals per game! Recent meetings show proper hammerings: 0-3, 0-2, 1-3, and get this - a 0-10 drubbing back in 2019.

Recent form doesn't give much hope for the home side either. Nacional have lost 4-2 to Braga in the cup, drawn 1-1 with Estrela, and lost 0-1 to Famalicao at home. Their home form is shocking - only one win in their last three home games, and they're conceding 1.67 goals per game on their own patch.

Benfica, on the other hand, are flying. Won 2-0 at Ajax in the Champions League, won 2-0 at Atlético CP in the cup. Their away form is proper solid - four wins in their last six away games, scoring 1.5 goals per game while only conceding 0.5. They've kept seven clean sheets in their last 10 games - that's 70%! Both teams have only scored in 10% of Benfica's recent matches.

The stats don't lie here. Benfica's defense is rock solid, Nacional can't buy a win against them, and the home side are struggling for form. It's looking like another tough day at the office for Nacional.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
1.75
+EV
+13.8%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN