Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Prediction

Motherwell to Maul Dundee Utd at Home

Preview

Howzit boet! Pajimon here, fresh from the braai and ready to talk proper football. None of that vegetable nonsense, just pure Scottish Premiership action this Saturday afternoon. Grab a cold one and let's look at why Motherwell are the hottest property north of the border right now.

These Steelmen are on fire, hey! Seven wins from their last ten matches, and check the scorelines - they just moered St Mirren 5-0 away from home, and before that they put two past Aberdeen without reply. They even held Rangers to a 1-1 draw and smashed Celtic 2-0 at home in December. That's proper form, sterker dan 'n leeu! The defense is tighter than my wallet after a weekend at the pub - seven clean sheets in their last ten games and only 0.40 goals conceded per game. At home they're even better, letting in just 0.17 goals per game with an 83% win rate.

Now Dundee Utd, or the Terrors as they call them... well, they're terrifying their own fans at the moment. Four wins in ten sounds okay until you see they got pumped 4-0 by Celtic and 3-0 by Hearts recently. Sure, they managed a 3-2 win at Falkirk and scraped draws against Aberdeen (0-0) and Kilmarnock (1-1), but against the top sides they've been kak. They concede 1.60 goals per game on average and 2.50 per game away from home.

The head-to-head makes for ugly reading if you're a Dundee Utd supporter. Motherwell have won 80% of their home fixtures against these guys, and with the way they're playing, I don't see that changing. The last meeting was a dull 0-0, but Motherwell won 2-0 before that and the Steelmen are in much better shape now.

The bookies have Motherwell at 1.48, which is short like a Springbok scrum-half, but sometimes you don't need fancy odds when the form is this one-sided. With Motherwell's defense being rock solid and Dundee Utd's struggles against top-half teams, this is a banker bet.

Key Points:

  • Motherwell have won 7 of their last 10 games, scoring 20 goals and conceding just 4
  • The Steelmen have kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 matches (70% clean sheet rate)
  • Dundee Utd have lost 4 of their last 10, conceding 16 goals in the process
  • Motherwell boast an 83% home win rate compared to Dundee Utd's inconsistent away form
  • Head-to-head: Motherwell have won 80% of home fixtures against Dundee Utd
  • Motherwell beat Celtic 2-0 and St Mirren 5-0 in recent home games

Summary: Back Motherwell to continue their charge towards the top three. At 1.48 the odds are short but the form is undeniable - these boys are playing like they want European football next season. This is as safe as a boerewors roll on a Saturday afternoon!

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.48
+EV
+6.6%
Estimated Chance72%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN