Bromley vs Cheltenham Prediction

Bromley are flying high at the top of League Two and Tuesday night sees them welcome a Cheltenham side that's been having a proper mare of a season. The Ravens have gone 10 games without defeat, picking up 7 wins and 3 draws, while the visitors sit down in 18th with just one victory from their last 10 outings.

The form book makes for grim reading if you're a Cheltenham fan. They've lost 7 of their last 10, shipping 18 goals in the process. That 3-0 win against struggling Crawley is the only bright spot in a run that's seen them beaten 3-1 at Accrington, 4-1 at Crewe, and 2-0 at home to Grimsby. Away from home it's been particularly brutal – they've failed to win any of their last 4 on the road, scoring just 0.75 goals per game while leaking 2.25.

Bromley, by contrast, have been banging them in for fun. Twenty-one goals in their last 10 games tells its own story. They put four past Gillingham away from home, beat promotion rivals Swindon 2-1, and even when they don't win they find the net – that 2-2 thriller against Crewe and the 1-1 draw with Notts County show they don't shut up shop.

The head-to-head record is surprisingly tight at two wins apiece with a draw, but four of those five meetings went Over 2.5 goals. Bromley won the reverse fixture 2-1 back in August, and given how both teams have travelled since, you'd expect more of the same.

The bookies have Bromley at a skinny 1.55 for the win, which is fair enough but hardly gets the pulse racing. The better value sits in the goals market at 1.85 for Over 2.5. With Bromley averaging over 2 goals a game and Cheltenham's away matches averaging 3 goals total (thanks to that sieve-like defence), the maths points to a lively evening.

Key Points:

• Bromley are unbeaten in 10 games (7 wins, 3 draws) and sit top of League Two with 63 points

• Cheltenham have won just 1 of their last 10 games and are 18th with a -22 goal difference

• Bromley have scored 21 goals in their last 10 outings (2.1 per game)

• Cheltenham have conceded 18 goals in their last 10 (1.8 per game) and 2.25 per game away from home

• Four of the last five head-to-head meetings have seen Over 2.5 goals

• Cheltenham have failed to win any of their last 4 away games (3 losses, 1 draw)

Summary:

Bromley should win this comfortably, but at 1.55 there's not much meat on the bone. The smart play is Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 – Bromley will score a couple at least against this defence, and Cheltenham's away record suggests they'll contribute to a goal-filled evening one way or another.