Charlton vs West Brom Prediction

Addicks Look Good Value Against Goal-Shy Baggies

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Tuesday night tussle between Charlton and West Brom. The Addicks are sitting pretty in 7th, just two points off the playoff spots, while the Baggies are languishing down in 11th.

Charlton have been proper decent lately, losing just two of their last ten games. They've had some cracking results too - that 3-0 hammering of Ipswich away was top drawer, and they followed it up with a 2-1 home win against Sheffield Wednesday. Even their draws have been against decent sides like Hull City. At home, they've been solid as a rock - unbeaten in their last four at their gaff, winning two and drawing two. They're averaging 1.75 goals per game at home while only letting in 0.75.

West Brom, on the other hand, are struggling a bit. Only five points from their last five games tells its own story, doesn't it? They can't buy a goal at the minute - just seven in ten games averages out at 0.7 per game. That's proper poor, that is. Away from home, they're even worse, scoring just 0.67 per game. Their recent 0-0 draw with Sheffield Wednesday (who are bang average at best) says it all really.

When you look at the stats, Charlton are having more shots and more shots on target than West Brom. The Baggies' shot accuracy is shocking too - just 28.1% compared to Charlton's 32.3%. They're just not creating enough quality chances.

The head-to-head doesn't give us much to go on with only three meetings ever, but Charlton have never beaten West Brom. Still, that was years back and form counts for more these days.

Given Charlton's solid home form and West Brom's struggles away from home - especially in front of goal - this looks like it could be a tight, low-scoring affair. The Addicks are decent at the back at home, and the Baggies just can't score on their travels.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
1.69
+EV
+9.8%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN