Aldosivi vs Argentinos JRS Prediction

Right then, let's have a butcher's at this Liga Profesional clash. Aldosivi are hosting Argentinos JRS, and if the numbers are anything to go by, the visitors might be leaving with the spoils.

Aldosivi are in a right old pickle at the moment. Six games into the season and they're still searching for their first win – three draws and three defeats leaves them stuck down in 28th spot with just three points to their name. Their last league outing was a 1-0 defeat away to Union Santa Fe, and before that they lost 1-0 to high-flying Tigre. At home, they've been drawing blanks quite literally – three 0-0 stalemates in their last six home matches against Defensa Y Justicia, Barracas Central, and Rosario Central. They did manage a 3-0 cup win against San Miguel, but league football's been a different story entirely, with four blanks in their last six outings.

Now, Argentinos JRS aren't exactly setting the world alight, but they're solid as a rock. Sitting pretty in 7th place with eight points from five games, they've built their campaign on a defence tighter than a drum. Seven clean sheets in their last ten matches tells you everything – they only let in 0.4 goals per game on average. They just held Lanus to a 0-0 draw and before that they beat River Plate 1-0 in a proper backs-to-the-wall job. Even away from home, they concede just 0.6 goals per game and have won 40% of their recent travels.

The head-to-head makes grim reading for the home faithful. Argentinos have won five of the eight meetings, including four victories in their last five trips to face Aldosivi. The last time they met back in September, Argentinos strolled away with a 2-0 win.

The goal expectancy sits at just 1.95 total (1.22 for Aldosivi, 0.73 for Argentinos), which screams low-scoring affair, but the 1.57 on offer for Under 2.5 is about as generous as a Scrooge at Christmas. No value there, mate. BTTS No at 1.62 ain't much better.

However, the away win at 1.91 catches my eye. Aldosivi are struggling for goals against decent opposition, and Argentinos have the defensive discipline to grind out results. With the visitors' superior league position and that dominant H2H record, the 1.91 looks a decent shout with an estimated 55% chance of landing.

Key Points:

• Aldosivi are winless in their opening six league matches (0W-3D-3L) and sit 28th

• Argentinos have kept seven clean sheets in their last ten games (70%)

• The visitors have won four of their last five away trips to Aldosivi

• Aldosivi have failed to score in four of their last six league outings

• Argentinos beat River Plate 1-0 and drew 0-0 with Lanus in recent weeks

Summary: Aldosivi are desperate for points but Argentinos have the defensive solidity and historical edge to come away with the win. At 1.91, the away win offers enough value for a punt. Back Argentinos JRS to win.