ST Mirren vs Aberdeen Prediction
Mirren Look Handy at Home vs Struggling Aberdeen
Preview
Right then, let's have a proper look at this Scottish Premiership clash. ST Mirren welcome the bottom-of-the-table Aberdeen side, and on paper, this looks like a decent opportunity for the home team.
ST Mirren are sitting pretty in 5th place with 9 points from their opening 7 games. They've been solid if not spectacular, with a recent run that's seen them draw with the big boys like Rangers and Hearts at their own patch. They know how to make their ground a fortress, especially against these lot - they've not lost to Aberdeen at home in their last four meetings, winning three of them.
Aberdeen, well, they're having a right old time of it at the bottom. Just 4 points from 7 games tells its own story. Their away form is particularly worrying - one win in their last four trips, and they're shipping goals for fun on the road (1.75 per game). That recent 4-0 thumping of Dundee looks more like a blip than a turnaround, especially when you consider they'd just lost three on the bounce before that.
The head-to-head record makes for grim reading if you're an Aberdeen fan. ST Mirren have won six of the nine meetings between these two, and at home, it's basically three wins and a draw. Last time out, it was a 1-0 win for Mirren, and you wouldn't bet against something similar here.
Both teams have been struggling to find the net consistently recently. Mirren are averaging exactly a goal per game over their last ten, while Aberdeen are only managing 1.1. When you factor in Aberdeen's defensive woes away from home and Mirren's decent home record (only conceding 0.6 per game at home), the signs are pointing towards a home win.
The bookies have got Mirren at 2.45, which seems a bit generous considering all the factors at play here. Home advantage, better form, dominant H2H record, and Aberdeen's travel sickness - it all adds up to decent value for the home side.