Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone Prediction

Aberdeen have been in proper form of late, and that's the headline going into this one. Two big away wins in their last five — a 4-1 thrashing at Dunfermline on 3 October and a 4-0 demolition of Motherwell on 15 September — have put them in a bit of a groove. No loss in their last five, 10 goals scored, just 3 conceded. That's a side that's clicking.

At home, Aberdeen's record over the last 20 games tells a solid story: 11 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses, averaging 1.8 points per game and scoring 1.55 a match while keeping it to 0.9 conceded. Eight clean sheets in that stretch. They're not a team that's been leaking goals at home.

Now, ST Johnstone's away record over 20 games is actually a bit better in the numbers — 11 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses, 1.9 points per game, and just 0.7 conceded per game with 11 clean sheets. That's a respectable away record. But their last five tells a different story: one win, two draws, two losses. They've managed zero clean sheets in that stretch, conceding 6 to 5. The 2-1 win over Hibernian on 6 September was the highlight, but the 0-1 loss to Celtic and the 1-2 defeat at Hearts have left a few question marks.

The head-to-head here is entirely historical — no meetings within the last 12 months. The five older fixtures show Aberdeen winning two, ST Johnstone winning one, and two draws. Over 49 meetings spanning 13 years, Aberdeen have won 20, drawn 18, and lost 11. But those numbers are dated, and I'd lean on what both sides are doing right now rather than what they did two years ago.

The honest read: Aberdeen's recent form is clearly the stronger story. Two big away wins, no defeat in five, and a home record that's been reliable. ST Johnstone's away record over 20 games is good, but their last five has been patchy, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in that stretch. The matchup table does show ST Johnstone's away numbers edge out Aberdeen's home numbers in points per game and goals conceded, but that's 20 games. The last five games are where the rubber meets the road, and Aberdeen are in the driving seat.

Key Points:

• Aberdeen: 2W 3D 0L in last 5, scored 10, conceded 3

• ST Johnstone: 1W 2D 2L in last 5, scored 5, conceded 6, zero clean sheets

• Aberdeen home (20 games): 11W 3D 6L, 1.8 ppg, 0.9 conceded/g

• ST Johnstone away (20 games): 11W 5D 4L, 1.9 ppg, 0.7 conceded/g

• Head-to-head is entirely historical — no meetings in the last 12 months

The football points to Aberdeen, but the available prices couldn't be used for a recommendation, so this one's a No Bet.