Accrington ST vs Oldham Prediction

Both Teams To Score Looks Value in Accrington Clash

Preview

Right then, let's get down to business with this League Two showdown! Accrington ST might be sitting 18th in the table, but don't let that fool you - these lads have been playing some proper football recently. They smashed Swindon Town 4-0 at home, and let me tell you, Swindon are sitting pretty in 2nd place! That's the kind of performance that gets the BBQ fired up, my friend.

Looking at their recent form, Accrington have been involved in some absolute crackers. Three draws in their last four league games, including a 3-3 thriller against Chesterfield and a 1-1 with Crawley. The key thing here is that they're scoring goals for fun at home - 1.83 per game to be exact - but their defense is about as solid as a paper bag in the rain. Only one clean sheet in ten games tells you everything you need to know!

Oldham, sitting three places above Accrington, have been a bit more conservative on their travels. They're only managing to bang in 1.00 goal per away game, which is frankly not going to win you many matches. But here's the thing - they've kept four clean sheets in their last ten, so they do know where the goal is when it comes to defending.

The head-to-head record makes for good reading if you're backing the home side though. Accrington have won two and drawn one of their three meetings, including a 3-1 victory last time out. At home against Oldham? Perfect record - 100% win rate!

When you look at the patterns, Accrington's home games are averaging around 3 goals per match, and both teams have scored in 70% of their recent fixtures. Oldham might not score many away from home, but against this Accrington defense that's been leaking goals left, right, and center, they've got a real chance.

The way I see it, we're looking at a game where Accrington's attacking firepower at home should see them score, while their defensive vulnerabilities give Oldham every chance of finding the net too. It's got all the ingredients for a proper goal fest!

Key Points:

• Accrington scoring 1.83 goals per home game but conceding regularly

• Only 10% clean sheets for Accrington in last 10 games

• Oldham struggling away from home (1.00 goal per game) but keeping 40% clean sheets

• Head-to-head favors Accrington (2W, 1D, 0L)

• Both teams have scored in 70% of Accrington's recent games

• Accrington's recent big win 4-0 vs 2nd place Swindon shows their potential

With both teams showing patterns that point toward goals at both ends, and the odds looking decent, I'm backing both teams to score in this one. Should be a cracker!

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.83
+EV
+6.1%
Estimated Chance58%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN