Adelaide United vs Perth Glory Prediction

Right then, Friday morning footy from Down Under as Adelaide United host Perth Glory in what looks a tasty A-League clash. The Reds are sitting pretty in fourth spot while Perth are down in ninth scratching around for points, and the numbers suggest the home side should be collecting the chocolates here.

Adelaide come into this one buzzing after a cracking 2-1 win away at Sydney last weekend. That's the sort of result that tells you a team means business, even if they did cop a 2-3 beating at home to league leaders Newcastle the week before. You can't win 'em all, especially against the top dogs, but Carl Veart's lot have been solid overall with five wins from their last ten and a handy 1.70 points per game average.

Now Perth, bless 'em, they've been struggling. Just three wins from their last ten and sitting on a measly 1.00 points per game during that run. They did manage a 2-2 draw away at Macarthur recently which shows they've got a bit of fight, and they absolutely battered Central Coast 3-0 back in January, but consistency is their problem. Six losses in ten tells the story - they're either hot or cold, mostly cold.

The head-to-head is where it gets really interesting for us punters. Adelaide absolutely own this fixture. Five wins from the last nine meetings with Perth managing just one solitary victory. The Reds won the reverse fixture 1-0 away back in December, and at home against Perth they've got a 60% win rate. That's the kind of dominance you can't ignore.

Both teams have been leaky at the back - Adelaide conceding 1.80 per game recently and Perth shipping 1.50 - so goals are likely. But with Perth's away win rate sitting at just 25% and Adelaide's overall form superior, the value lies with the home side.

Key Points:

• Adelaide won the reverse fixture 1-0 away in December and dominate the H2H (5 wins to 1)

• Adelaide's 2-1 win at Sydney last week shows they're in decent nick

• Perth have lost six of their last ten and struggle away from home (25% win rate)

• Both teams conceding regularly but Adelaide's attacking output (1.70 per game) edges Perth's (1.40)

• Home advantage crucial - Adelaide 60% win rate vs Perth at this ground historically

The bookies have Adelaide at 2.15 which looks a smidge generous given the form and history. Perth are improving slightly according to the trends but Adelaide's quality should see them through. Back the home win.