GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Welsh Premier League clash between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Haverfordwest County AFC. The lads from Connah's Quay are sitting pretty in 4th place with 21 points, while Haverfordwest are struggling down in 11th with just 11 points - that's a proper gap in quality right there.

Now here's the interesting bit - Connah's Quay have been absolutely brilliant on their travels lately, winning their last four away games on the spin. They've been banging in the goals too, putting three past Bala Town twice, three past Briton Ferry, and another three against llanelli AFC. That's 12 goals in four away games - proper attacking form!

But here's the rub - their home form has been a bit dodgy recently, winning only 20% of their last five at home. They've lost to Caernarfon Town and Bala Town at their own gaff, which isn't ideal.

Now for Haverfordwest... blimey, their away form is shocking. Absolutely shocking. Five away games, zero wins, zero draws, five losses. They're scoring just 0.2 goals per game away from home - that's basically one goal every five away matches! They've been shipping goals for fun too, letting in 2.8 per game on the road. Recent away defeats include 3-0 at llanelli, 5-0 at The New Saints, and 3-0 at Colwyn Bay. It's not pretty viewing.

These two met back in September and Connah's Quay ran out 3-1 winners, so they know how to get the job done against this lot.

Looking at the numbers, Connah's Quay are averaging 1.9 goals per game and keeping clean sheets 40% of the time. Haverfordwest are averaging 1.2 goals scored but 2.0 conceded, with only one clean sheet in their last ten games.

The bookies have Connah's Quay as favourites at 1.67, which seems about right, but I reckon there's better value elsewhere. Given Haverfordwest's complete inability to score away from home, I'm looking at the Both Teams to Score - No market at 2.10. That looks tasty to me.

Key Points:

• Haverfordwest have won 0% of their last 5 away games

• Haverfordwest score just 0.2 goals per game away from home

• Connah's Quay beat Haverfordwest 3-1 in their last meeting

• Connah's Quay have won 4 straight away games

• Haverfordwest have kept only 1 clean sheet in last 10 games

The way I see it, Haverfordwest's away scoring record is so abysmal that there's every chance they won't find the net at all. Connah's Quay should have enough quality to score at least once, probably more, and keep a clean sheet against this toothless away attack.