ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one down the pub. ADO Den Haag are absolutely flying this season, aren't they? Second in the table with 25 points from 9 games, and still unbeaten. They're scoring goals for fun at home too - nearly 3 per game on their own patch. Just look at their recent results: 4-0 against Jong AZ, 5-1 versus FC OSS, and 3-1 at Waalwijk. That's some proper attacking football right there.

Dordrecht, on the other hand, are having a decent enough season sitting in 7th. They're not exactly world-beaters away from home though - 40% win rate tells you that. But here's the interesting bit: they do score on their travels (1.8 per game) but they also let a few in (1.4 per game). Their recent away form shows exactly that - a 2-0 win, but also 2-2 and 1-1 draws. They can get on the scoresheet but they're not exactly solid at the back.

When these two have met in the past, it's usually been pretty tight - 5 draws in 9 meetings. But here's the stat that catches my eye: 6 out of those 9 games have gone over 2.5 goals. And given how ADO are banging them in at home, plus Dordrecht's tendency to both score and concede away, I reckon we're in for another goal-fest.

The home win odds are too short for my liking - 1.22 suggests it's a done deal, and where's the fun in that? But the over 2.5 goals market at 1.40? Now that's got my attention. ADO are averaging 2.8 goals at home, Dordrecht are conceding 1.4 away, and their head-to-heads are usually entertaining affairs with plenty of goals.