Bristol City vs Birmingham Prediction

Bristol City to Outscore Struggling Birmingham

Preview

Right then, let's get down to business! Bristol City are sitting pretty in 4th place with 19 points, and they've been scoring for fun at home - 2 goals per game on their own patch! They've just smashed Southampton 3-1 and nicked a 1-0 at Norwich, so the form's looking good.

Now Birmingham... ag man, their away form is worse than a braai without meat! They're averaging just 0.4 goals per game away from home - that's shocking stuff! They did grab a 1-0 win at Preston in their last away game, but before that, they were getting hammered 3-0 by Coventry and losing to Leicester and Stoke.

The head-to-head shows Birmingham usually have the edge over Bristol City, but that's history, bru. Right now, Bristol City are flying while Birmingham can't buy a goal on the road. Bristol City are scoring 2.0 at home and Birmingham are letting in 1.4 away - do the maths!

The goal expectancy says we should see around 2.8 goals in this one, and with Bristol City's attack firing at home against a Birmingham side that struggles to score away, I'm backing the goals. Bristol City's defense isn't exactly watertight at home (1.8 conceded per game), so both teams could contribute to a high-scoring affair.

Time to fire up the BBQ and celebrate another winner!

Match time
Recommended Bet
OVER 2 5
Odds
2.10
+EV
+15.5%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN