AFC Wimbledon vs Burton Albion Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. On paper, it looks like a mismatch of epic proportions. Wimbledon are sitting pretty in 5th place with 25 points, while Burton are propping up the table in 22nd with just 12 points. That's a massive gap, mate.

Wimbledon have been decent lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They've been scoring for fun at home too - 1.8 goals per game on their own patch. They've had some proper good results recently, like that 2-1 win at Plymouth and a 2-0 victory at Blackpool. Mind you, they've had some shockers too - getting stuffed 1-5 by Stevenage and losing 0-3 at Bolton shows they can be vulnerable.

Burton, on the other hand, are in a right old mess. Only 2 wins in their last 10, and they can't score to save their lives - just 0.7 goals per game. Away from home? Absolutely shocking. 0% win rate on their travels and only managing 0.67 goals per game. They got hammered 0-4 by Plymouth recently and lost 0-1 to Peterborough. Their only bright spot was a surprise 3-0 win over Bolton, but let's be honest, that looks like a one-off.

Now here's the weird bit - Wimbledon have NEVER beaten Burton in 9 attempts! 0 wins, 5 draws, 4 losses. Most recent meetings have been draws, but that was ages ago. Current form tells a very different story.

Wimbledon are scoring freely at home (1.8 per game) while Burton can't buy a goal away (0.67). The league position gap is massive, and Wimbledon's home form is solid. Sometimes you've got to ignore the history and go with the here and now.