Alanyaspor vs Eyüpspor Prediction

When the Süper Lig's 10th-placed Alanyaspor hosts 16th-placed Eyüpspor this weekend, the league table tells one story, but history tells a completely different one. As your friendly underdog tipster, I'm always looking for those hidden gems where the odds don't tell the full story, and this matchup has underdog written all over it.

Let's start with the elephant in the room: the head-to-head record. In six previous meetings, Alanyaspor has never beaten Eyüpspor. Not once. The visitors have won three and drawn three, including all three visits to Alanyaspor's ground ending in draws. The most recent encounter in August 2025 saw Eyüpspor triumph 2-1. This isn't just a statistical quirk—it's a pattern that demands attention when Eyüpspor are priced at 7.00 for the win and 4.29 for the draw.

Looking at recent form, Alanyaspor has been the definition of solid if unspectacular. They've lost just once in their last ten matches across all competitions, with that solitary defeat coming against league leaders Fenerbahçe in a narrow 2-3 home loss. Their defensive record is particularly impressive, conceding only seven goals in those ten games and keeping six clean sheets. Notable results include a 1-0 away victory at third-placed Trabzonspor in the Türkiye Kupası and a 5-0 demolition of Yeni Çorumspor in the same competition. However, their league form reveals a different story: they've drawn an astonishing ten of their nineteen matches this season—that's over 50% of their games ending level.

Eyüpspor's recent results show a team capable of punching above their weight. They held fifth-placed Beşiktaş to a 2-2 draw just days ago and secured an impressive 2-1 away victory at eighth-placed Gazişehir Gaziantep in November. While they've suffered heavy defeats to top sides like Fenerbahçe (0-3) and Rizespor (0-3), they've consistently found the net, scoring in eight of their last ten matches. Their Achilles' heel is clearly defensive solidity—they haven't kept a single clean sheet in those ten games, conceding sixteen goals.

The statistical matchup reveals some intriguing contrasts. Alanyaspor averages 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game over their last ten, with a remarkable 60% clean sheet rate. Eyüpspor matches the 1.60 goals scored but concedes more than twice as many at 1.60 per game, with a 0% clean sheet rate. Where Eyüpspor shines is in both teams scoring scenarios—80% of their recent matches have seen both teams find the net, compared to Alanyaspor's 40%.

When we examine venue performance, Alanyaspor's home record shows a 40% win rate with 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Eyüpspor's away form is less impressive with a 25% win rate, scoring just 1.00 goal per game on the road while conceding 1.75. However, those historical draws at this venue cannot be ignored.

Key Points:

• Historical Dominance: Eyüpspor is unbeaten in six meetings against Alanyaspor (3 wins, 3 draws)

• Draw Specialists: Alanyaspor has drawn 10 of 19 league matches this season (52.6%)

• Defensive Fortress vs Leaky Defense: Alanyaspor has 60% clean sheet rate; Eyüpspor has 0%

• Scoring Consistency: Both teams average 1.60 goals scored per game in recent form

• Recent Improvements: Eyüpspor shows improving trends in goals scored, conceded, and points

• Cup Success: Both teams have shown capability in cup competitions against stronger opposition

As an underdog specialist, I see value where others might overlook it. The market has Alanyaspor as strong favorites at 1.55, but their propensity to draw combined with Eyüpspor's historical hold over them makes the draw at 4.29 particularly appealing. Eyüpspor has shown they can compete with better teams—their draw with Beşiktaş and win at Gaziantep prove that—and they'll be buoyed by their perfect record against today's opponents. While the away win at 7.00 is tempting given the history, the safer underdog play is the draw, which aligns with both Alanyaspor's season pattern and the historical results at this venue.