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The most compelling story in this fixture is Desenzano Calvina's away record. Over 20 away games spanning from November 2025 to October 2026, they have won 13, drawn 5 and lost just 2, averaging 2.2 points per game. They score 1.45 goals per away game and concede only 0.5, keeping 10 clean sheets in those 20 trips. That is a record that speaks for itself.
Their recent form reinforces the point. Desenzano Calvina won their last two matches — a 2–0 home victory over Dolomiti Bellunesi on 10 October and a 2–1 away win at Folgore Caratese on 3 October — scoring 4 and conceding just 1 in those two games. In their last five matches overall, they have kept three clean sheets and conceded only 0.8 goals per game.
Alcione, by contrast, have won none of their last five matches. They drew 1–1 at Lecco on 11 October, 2–2 at home to Trento on 4 October, 1–1 at Albinoleffe on 27 September, and 2–2 at PRO Vercelli on 17 September, with the only defeat coming in a 0–4 home loss to Union Brescia on 20 September. Their last three matches have all been draws, and they have kept zero clean sheets in the last five games, conceding 2 goals per game. At home over 20 games, their record is 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, with 0.9 goals conceded per game and 7 matches in which they failed to score.
The head-to-head is dated. The three meetings between these sides all took place between November 2022 and May 2023, in Serie D. Alcione won two of those three (2–1 and 1–0 at their own ground) and the other was a 1–1 draw at Desenzano Calvina's ground. With no meetings within the last 12 months, this record offers little guidance for the current fixture.
The counter-argument to Desenzano Calvina's case is Alcione's drawing habit. Four of their last five matches ended level, and in their last 10 games they have drawn 6 times. The market prices the draw at 3.1, reflecting that tendency. Additionally, Desenzano Calvina's 13 wins in 20 away games are spread over a period that includes older fixtures, and their recent five-match record (2W 2D 1L) does not quite match the dominance of the longer record.
Key Points:
- Desenzano Calvina have won 13 of their last 20 away games, conceding just 0.5 per game
- Alcione have won 0 of their last 5 matches, drawing 4 and losing 1
- Desenzano Calvina won their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1
- The head-to-head is entirely historical, with no meetings in the last 12 months
- Alcione have kept 0 clean sheets in their last 5 matches
No Bet. The available prices do not offer a recommendation I can stand behind with the certainty this fixture demands.