Almere City FC vs MVV Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this scrap between two sides who're both stuck in the relegation muck. Almere City FC are propping up the table in 15th, while MVV are just one spot above them - not exactly a clash of the titans, is it?

Both teams have been proper inconsistent lately, each grabbing just 1.10 points per game over their last ten matches. Almere have shown a bit of spark recently with back-to-back wins - a tidy 1-0 away at Dordrecht and a 2-0 cup victory at Sparta Nijkerk. But let's not get carried away, they also got hammered 3-1 at home by Jong AZ not long ago.

MVV, on the other hand, are absolutely shocking on their travels. Zero wins in their last five away games, shipping goals like there's no tomorrow - 2.2 per away game on average! They did manage a 2-2 draw at Willem II, but followed it up with a 3-4 home thumping by league leaders ADO Den Haag. Their defense is about as solid as a chocolate teapot.

Here's the thing though - both teams tend to find the net. MVV have scored in 80% of their recent games, while Almere are banging in 2 goals per home game on average. The head-to-head has been tight, low-scoring stuff historically, but current form suggests we might see a few more goals this time around.

Almere's home record isn't exactly fearsome (25% win rate recently), but against an MVV side that can't defend away from home, they've got a decent chance. The bookies have Almere as strong favorites at 1.40, but that seems a bit short given their patchy form.

For me, the value lies in both teams getting on the scoresheet. MVV's away defense is woeful, and Almere aren't exactly solid at the back either. At 1.62, BTTS looks like the smart play here.