Almeria vs Cadiz Prediction

Andalusian Derby: Both Teams To Score?

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Andalusian showdown between Almeria and Cadiz. Two sides sitting pretty in the top six, separated by just a single point - this could be a right cracker!

Almeria have been banging them in recently, haven't they? Six wins in their last ten games, and at home they're absolutely flying - 100% win rate in their last four at their own patch. They're netting two goals per game on their own turf, which is decent going in this league. The 3-1 win over Eibar and that 2-0 stuffing of Zaragoza show they mean business at home.

But here's the thing about Cadiz - they're proper stubborn, especially on their travels. Only letting in 0.4 goals per game away from home, that's impressive stuff. They've kept three clean sheets in their last five away matches, including goalless draws at Granada and Valladolid. The problem for Cadiz is finding the net themselves - only 0.8 goals per game on the road.

Now, here's where it gets interesting, mate. These two have faced each other nine times, and get this - BOTH teams have scored in EVERY single one of those meetings. 100% record! That's not just a coincidence, is it? Even when Cadiz are struggling to score away, they always seem to find a way against Almeria.

The head-to-head makes for tasty reading too. Last time out it finished 1-2, before that a 1-1 draw. They're always tight affairs, but they always produce goals from both sides. Almeria might have the home advantage and better recent form, but Cadiz know how to spoil the party.

Looking at the stats, Almeria are averaging 1.5 goals per game overall while Cadiz are only managing 0.7. But when these two meet, form goes out the window and both teams usually find the net. The bookies have got BTTS at evens basically (1.83), which seems like decent value given that perfect historical record.

Almeria's home form is formidable, but Cadiz's defensive record away can't be ignored. This has got 1-1 or 2-1 written all over it, and I reckon both sides will get on the scoresheet again.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.83
+EV
+9.8%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN