Antwerp vs Charleroi Prediction

Antwerp vs Charleroi — a fixture that's been a bit of a headache for the home side recently. In the last two meetings at Antwerp's ground, the visitors have won both — 0–1 on 10 May and 0–2 on 25 January — and that pattern is hard to ignore when you're digging through the numbers.

Let's start with the form, because it's pretty one-sided. Charleroi have won 7 of their last 10 games across all competitions, scoring 1.8 per game and conceding just 1.0. Antwerp, meanwhile, have lost 4 of their last 5, conceding 11 goals in that stretch. The 5–1 defeat at Westerlo on 11 October and the 0–2 home loss to Union St. Gilloise on 20 September really sting, and Antwerp picked up red cards in both of those matches. Their only win in that run was a 1–0 cup tie away at Heist on 17 October.

Now look at the venue records. Over the last 20 away games, Charleroi have won 10, drawn 4 and lost 6, averaging 1.7 points per game and keeping 9 clean sheets. Antwerp at home over 20 games have won 7, drawn 5 and lost 8, averaging 1.3 points and conceding 1.65 per game. That's a clear edge for the visitors, and it's not just the wins — Charleroi's away defence is the standout, conceding just 1.1 per game compared to Antwerp's 1.65 at home.

The head-to-head at this ground tells the same story. Two meetings, two wins for Charleroi, both by a single goal or two. The older meetings go back further — a 1–2 on 29 May 2025 and a 1–1 on 17 August 2025 — but those are historical and don't carry the same weight as the last two.

The counter-argument? Antwerp did win their most recent game, and their home record over 20 games isn't a disaster — 7 wins is respectable. Plus, the 5–1 loss at Westerlo came with a red card in the 51st minute, which distorts the picture a bit. And Charleroi's last game was a 0–0 cup draw at Albert Quévy-Mons, so they're not exactly flying. But when you stack up the evidence — the away record, the current form, the head-to-head at this ground — it all points the same way.

Key Points:

• Charleroi have won 7 of their last 10 games; Antwerp have lost 4 of their last 5

• At Antwerp's ground, Charleroi have won both of the last two meetings (0–1, 0–2)

• Charleroi's away record: 10W 4D 6L in 20 games, 1.1 conceded per game

• Antwerp's home record: 7W 5D 8L in 20 games, 1.65 conceded per game

• Antwerp picked up red cards in their last two league defeats

Verdict: I'm going with the Charleroi away win at 1.84. The numbers, the form, and the head-to-head all line up, and the price is fair for what you're getting.