AS Roma vs Cremonese Prediction

Alright mate, fancy a flutter on the Sunday night football? We've got AS Roma hosting Cremonese, and I reckon this one's got home win written all over it – though the odds are tighter than a pair of skinny jeans after Christmas dinner.

Roma are sitting pretty in fourth spot with 47 points from 25 games, and their recent form is proper solid. Five wins in their last ten, including a cracking 2-0 victory over Cagliari last time out on home soil. They've only lost twice in that run – a narrow 1-0 slip-up at Udinese and that mad 2-3 cup defeat to Torino where they forgot how to defend for 90 minutes. But look at the bigger picture: they've beaten Stuttgart (2-0), Torino (2-0), Sassuolo (2-0) and Lecce (2-0) recently. That's four clean sheets in their last ten, conceding just 0.80 goals per game. At home, they're even better – 1.80 goals scored and only 0.80 conceded, with a 60% win rate in their last five at home.

Now, let's talk about Cremonese. Blimey, it's been rough for them, hasn't it? Sixteenth in the table, winless in their last ten games (that's zero wins, four draws, six defeats if you're counting). They've scored a measly three goals in those ten matches – that's 0.30 per game, mate! Away from home it's even worse: 0.20 goals per game and they're shipping 1.80 at the other end. Their last away day was a 2-1 defeat at Atalanta, and before that they got absolutely battered 5-0 by Juventus. The only thing keeping them from the drop zone is that everyone down there's just as poor.

The head-to-head makes interesting reading – Roma have won three of the last five, but Cremonese have nicked two wins including one on the road. However, the last meeting in November ended 3-1 to Roma, and given Cremonese's current goal-shy form (three goals in ten games!), I can't see them causing an upset here.

The stats back it up too. Roma are averaging 13.2 shots per game with 53.6% possession, while Cremonese are managing just 9.8 shots and 43.1% possession. When you're creating that little and conceding nearly two goals a game away from home, you're in trouble against a side pushing for the top four.

Key Points:

• Roma have won 5 of their last 10, keeping 5 clean sheets in the process

• Cremonese are winless in 10 games, scoring just 3 goals (0.30 per game)

• Cremonese away form: 0 wins in last 5, 80% loss rate, only 0.20 goals per game

• Roma home defence: conceding just 0.80 goals per game

• Last meeting: Roma won 3-1 in November 2025

Summary: The 1.36 on a home win is short, but sometimes you've got to take the banker. Cremonese can't score and Roma are solid at the back. I'm backing the home side to take all three points comfortably.