Athlone Town vs Treaty United Prediction

Right, so we've got Athlone Town hosting Treaty United on 9 October, and if you've been following the form books, this one's got a clear shape to it.

Athlone Town have been proper solid. Five games, no losses — three wins and two draws. They've chucked 11 goals into the net and only let in six. At home over the last 20 games, they've won 10, drawn 7 and lost just 3, scoring 1.45 a game and keeping clean sheets in 8 of those 20. That's a proper home record. Their last game was a 2–1 win over Cork City at home, and before that a 3–0 hammering of Kerry. They're scoring, they're keeping it tight, and they haven't lost in five.

Now look at Treaty United. Two wins, no draws, three losses in their last five. Four goals scored, eight conceded. Their last game was a 0–4 thrashing at home by UCD, and before that they lost 0–2 away to Bray Wanderers. On the road over 20 games, they've won 4, drawn 5 and lost 11. They've failed to score in 10 of those 20 away trips and conceded 1.85 a game. That's a team that's struggling to find a rhythm away from home.

The head-to-head at this ground is thin — just one meeting in the last 12 months, and it was a 0–0 draw back in May. The other two recent meetings were at Treaty's ground, where they won 2–1 and 2–0. So the history at Athlone's place doesn't really tell you much. But the current form does, and it points one way.

The counter-argument? Well, Treaty did beat Athlone in two of the three recent meetings, and that 0–0 at this ground shows they can park the bus. Also, Athlone's home record includes 7 draws, so they're not always getting the win. And the H2H at this venue is just one game — you can't build a case on that alone.

But the numbers don't lie. Athlone are scoring at 2.2 a game in their last five, Treaty are managing 0.8. Athlone's home record is 10 wins from 20, Treaty's away record is 4 wins from 20. The gap is there, and it's a big one.

Key Points:

• Athlone Town are unbeaten in their last five (3W 2D), scoring 2.2 per game

• Treaty United have lost 3 of their last 5 and failed to score in 3 of them

• Athlone's home record: 10W 7D 3L in 20 games; Treaty's away: 4W 5D 11L in 20

• The only recent meeting at this ground was a 0–0 draw (May 2026)

• Treaty conceded 4 in their last game and 1.85 per game away over 20 trips

My pick: the Athlone Town home win.