Some betting details are unavailable for this preview.
Austria Lustenau host Lask Linz on 17 October in the Bundesliga, and the numbers tell a clear story about who holds the advantage. Lask Linz arrive as the stronger side, and the market's 1.42 price on their win (70.42% implied) reflects that reality.
Lask Linz's away record over the last 20 games is 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, with 2.55 goals scored per game. Their last 10 matches across all venues show 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at 1.6 points per game, and they score 2.2 goals per game in that stretch. Austria Lustenau, by contrast, have lost their last two matches — conceding 5 goals and scoring just 3 — and sit at 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 10, managing 1.1 points per game. Their xG against over six recent games sits at 2.17 per game, which tells you they are being exposed at the back. At home over 20 games, Austria Lustenau do have a 11-4-5 record and concede just 1.1 per game, but that home comfort is being eroded by the last few weeks of results.
The head-to-head here is entirely historical. There have been no meetings between these two sides within the last 12 months. The five older fixtures — stretching back to 2017 — show Lask Linz winning four of five, including three at their own ground. At Austria Lustenau's ground, the two older meetings produced one loss and one draw for the hosts. With no recent meetings to lean on, current form and venue records carry the weight, and both point toward Lask Linz.
The counter-argument is that Austria Lustenau's home record over 20 games is solid — 11 wins, 9 clean sheets, and a 1.85 points-per-game figure that outperforms Lask Linz's 1.6 away. They beat SCR Altach 2–0 at home four weeks ago, and their last 5 games show 3 of 5 over 2.5 goals, suggesting the match could open up. Lask Linz, however, lost 0–2 to Rapid Vienna just six days ago at home, and their last 5 games show only 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses at 0.8 points per game. Their away form over 20 games is respectable but not dominant, and they failed to score in 4 of those 20.
Key Points:
- Lask Linz's last 10 matches: 5W 1D 4L, 2.2 goals scored per game; Austria Lustenau's last 10: 3W 2D 5L, 1.7 scored per game.
- Austria Lustenau have lost their last 2 matches, conceding 5 goals in the process.
- Lask Linz score 2.55 per game away over 20 games; Austria Lustenau concede 1.1 per game at home over 20 games.
- No head-to-head meetings within the last 12 months; the record is historical only.
- The market prices Lask Linz at 70.42%, which aligns closely with what the form and venue records support.
The evidence points firmly toward Lask Linz, but the 1.42 price leaves no margin for a value edge — my own read on their chances sits right around the market's 70.42%, and I can't find a price here that offers the kind of mispricing I hunt for. No Bet.