Austria Vienna vs Sturm Graz Prediction

The Big O here, and I'm telling you — this one's got the smell of goals all over it. Austria Vienna and Sturm Graz have met three times in the last 12 months, and in every single one of those meetings, both teams found the net. The 1–1 at Sturm Graz's ground in April, the wild 2–5 at Austria Vienna's ground in March, and the 3–1 in December — three out of three, both boxes ticked. That's not a coincidence; that's a pattern, and patterns are what I live for. You don't get a cleaner signal than that, folks.

Now let's look at the numbers and they back it up. Austria Vienna have scored in four of their last five matches, racking up 16 goals in that span — 3.2 a game. Sturm Graz have found the net in three of their last five, with 9 goals in that window. At home, Austria Vienna have seen both teams score in 13 of their last 20 home games, and Sturm Graz have done the same in 11 of their last 20 away trips. The latest 10 for both sides sits at 5 out of 10 for both-teams-to-score. The evidence is stacking up, and it's stacking up in the direction I like — goals, action, no nil-nil nonsense.

Now I'll give you the other side of the coin because I'm not a fool. Sturm Graz went 0–0 at home to Rennes in the Europa League and got thumped 0–3 away at Red Bull Salzburg, where they failed to score and even saw a red card in the 76th minute. Austria Vienna lost 0–1 to WSG Wattens at home five weeks ago. There's a 0–0 in Sturm Graz's last five, and the head-to-head at this venue includes a 2–5 scoreline that, while both teams scored, was a one-sided affair. If either team's attack goes quiet, this bet is dead. That's the risk I'm taking, and I'm comfortable with it.

Key Points:

• All three recent head-to-head meetings (within 12 months) saw both teams score

• Austria Vienna scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches; Sturm Graz scored 9

• Austria Vienna's home record: 13/20 BTTS yes; Sturm Graz's away record: 11/20 BTTS yes

• Sturm Graz's 0–0 draw and 0–3 loss in recent weeks are the main concern

• Both teams' latest 10 games show 5/10 BTTS yes

The Big O's verdict: Both teams to score — Yes.