Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity Prediction

Omaha's Goal Fest Expected Against Spokane

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this season finale between Union Omaha and Spokane Velocity. The lads from Omaha are finishing the season like a train - unbeaten in their last 10 games with 7 wins and 3 draws. They've been banging them in for fun too, averaging 2.3 goals per game while keeping it tight at the back with only 0.6 conceded.

Spokane, sitting pretty in 3rd, have had a bit of a mixed bag lately. Three wins, three draws, and four losses in their last 10 doesn't exactly scream confidence, especially after that 6-1 hammering they took from Portland Hearts of Pine in their last outing. On their travels, they're only winning a third of their games and letting in 2 goals per match away from home.

But here's the stat that's got my attention - these two teams have played each other 7 times, and EVERY SINGLE MATCH has gone over 2.5 goals. That's not just a pattern, that's practically a guarantee! The last meeting was a 2-2 draw, and before that, we've seen 3-0, 4-0, and 1-2 scorelines. Goals, goals, goals.

Union Omaha have been particularly lethal at home, scoring 2.57 per game at their own patch. With Spokane's defence looking about as solid as a chocolate teapot away from home (conceding 2 per game on the road), you can see where this is heading.

The odds of 1.64 for over 2.5 goals look like proper value to me. Given the perfect head-to-head record and the current form of both teams, I'd be surprised if we don't see at least three goals hit the back of the net here.

Match time
Recommended Bet
OVER 2 5
Odds
1.64
+EV
+11.5%
Estimated Chance68%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN