Austria Salzburg vs Austria Vienna (Am) Prediction

Vienna's Away Form vs Salzburg's Home Woes

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Austrian 2. Liga clash between Austria Salzburg and Austria Vienna's amateur side. On paper, there's a right old gap between these two - Salzburg are languishing in 11th spot with just 11 points from 10 games, while Vienna's boys are sitting pretty in 7th with 16 points.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Salzburg's home form is what you'd call... inconsistent. They've got a 40% win rate at home, but here's the kicker - they also lose 40% of their home games! They do score goals though, banging in 2.4 per game on their own patch. The problem? They're letting in 2.0 per game at home too. It's basically like watching a basketball match sometimes - end to end stuff.

Vienna's away form, on the other hand, is absolutely top drawer. We're talking an 80% win rate on their travels! They're scoring 2.0 goals per game away and only letting in 1.2. That's the sort of form that gets you promoted, not stuck in mid-table.

Looking at recent results, Salzburg took a proper 4-0 hiding from Admira Wacker in their last outing, while Vienna could only manage a 1-1 draw at home against Stripfing. But don't let that fool you - Vienna's away form speaks for itself.

Both teams seem to have forgotten how to keep clean sheets. Salzburg have managed just one in 10 games (10% rate), while Vienna are slightly better with three in 10 (30%). But the key stat for me is that both teams see both sides score in 70% of their games. That's some consistent entertainment right there.

The goal expectancy suggests we're looking at around 3.8 goals in this one, and given Salzburg's leaky defence and Vienna's attacking prowess on the road, I'm leaning towards goals, goals, goals.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.65
+EV
+7.2%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN

Austria Salzburg vs Austria Vienna (Am) Best Odds