Feyenoord vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Feyenoord vs PEC Zwolle: Goals Galore on the Cards?

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and PEC Zwolle. On paper, this looks like a mismatch of epic proportions - Feyenoord sitting pretty in 2nd place with 31 points, while PEC Zwolle are scrapping for survival down in 14th with just 16 points.

But here's where it gets interesting, mate. Feyenoord's recent form has been about as consistent as a London bus schedule - 5 wins and 5 losses in their last 10. They've been shipping goals for fun at home too, conceding 2.33 per game on their own patch. That 2-4 hammering by NEC Nijmegen and the 1-3 European defeat to Celtic show they're not exactly the defensive wall they should be.

PEC Zwolle, bless 'em, have been more steady but unspectacular. They've got some decent results lately - beating Heerenveen 2-1 and grabbing a point at Groningen. But that 8-2 embarrassment at Heracles shows they can fall apart spectacularly. The thing is, they do score goals away from home, averaging 2.20 per game on their travels.

Now, the head-to-head tells a story of complete domination - Feyenoord have won all 9 meetings between these sides, scoring 29 and conceding just 4. At home, it's 6 wins from 6 for Feyenoord. But here's the kicker: both teams have been scoring and conceding like there's no tomorrow recently. Both teams have found the net in 80% of their respective last 10 matches.

The stats don't lie here - Feyenoord's home defense has been about as solid as a chocolate teapot, while PEC Zwolle can definitely score on the road. With both teams averaging over 2 goals per game in attack and both keeping just 1 clean sheet each in their last 10 matches, we're in for a proper goal fest.

Key Points:

  • Feyenoord dominate this fixture historically (9 wins from 9 meetings)
  • Both teams have scored in 80% of recent matches
  • Feyenoord conceding 2.33 goals per game at home
  • PEC Zwolle scoring 2.20 goals per game away from home
  • Both teams have kept just 1 clean sheet in last 10 games

The bookies have got this wrong in my opinion - both teams to score is priced at evens (1.91) but the data suggests it's much more likely than that. With both sides' defensive issues and attacking capabilities, I'm backing both teams to find the net in what should be an entertaining encounter.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.91
+EV
+24.1%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN