Gazişehir Gaziantep vs Rizespor Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this mid-table Turkish scrap. Gazişehir Gaziantep are sitting pretty in 6th with 18 points, while Rizespor are lingering in 11th on 13. The home side have been proper decent lately - 6 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 10 games. That's 60% win rate and 2.10 points per game, which ain't bad at all.

They've been scoring for fun too - 17 goals in those 10 games, though they did get a bit of a pasting from Fenerbahce (0-4, but let's be honest, everyone's struggling against the top two). They bounced back nicely though with a 3-2 win over Antalyaspor and kept a clean sheet in the cup.

Rizespor have been no mugs either - 4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses recently. Here's the interesting bit though: they actually score MORE away from home (2.20 per game) than they do at their own gaff (0.80). That's backwards, but it's what the numbers say.

When it comes to head-to-head, Gaziantep absolutely boss it at home against these lot - 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss. That's 80% home win rate, and historically there's been no draws between these two sides in 9 meetings.

The stats show Gaziantep like to keep the ball (56.6% possession vs 49.4%) and have a right go (15.78 shots vs 12.89). Rizespor are a bit more clinical on their travels though.

Both teams are scoring regularly, and the goal expectancies suggest we'll see goals from both sides. But with Gaziantep's home form and their dominance in this fixture, I'm leaning towards the home win here.