Juventus vs Udinese Prediction

Old Lady's Slump vs Udinese's Away Day Heroes

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Juventus and Udinese are both sat on 12 points in the table, but blimey, you'd think they were in different universes right now!

Juventus are having a proper mare of it lately. Three losses on the spin - 1-0 to Lazio, 1-0 to Real Madrid, and 2-0 to Como. That's not just bad luck, that's a full-blown crisis! They've managed just ONE goal in their last three matches, which is shocking stuff for a club of their stature. At home, they've been a bit better on the scoring front (2.20 per game), but even there they've drawn their last two league games 0-0 with Milan and 1-1 with Atalanta.

Now Udinese, what a different story altogether! They're flying high with six wins in their last 10 games, grabbing 2.10 points per game. And away from home? Absolutely brilliant - 75% win rate on their travels, only letting in 0.5 goals per game. They even rocked up at Inter and came away with a 2-1 win. That's proper away day form that is.

The head-to-head does heavily favor Juventus - 6 wins out of 8 meetings, 6 clean sheets, and they won 2-0 in both fixtures last season. But form vs history, eh? That's always the question.

Looking at the numbers, both teams are scoring 1.40 goals per game on average, but Juventus are shipping 1.40 while Udinese only concede 1.00. Juventus have been keeping 30% clean sheets, same as Udinese, but 60% of Udinese's recent games have seen both teams score.

The odds have Juventus as heavy favorites at 1.44, but with their current form? That seems a bit optimistic for my liking. Both teams to score at 2.05 looks much more appealing given what we're seeing.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
2.05
+EV
+12.8%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN