Swansea vs Portsmouth Prediction

Swans Look To Soar Above Struggling Pompey

Preview

Right then, let's get down to business with this bottom-of-the-table clash! Swansea welcome Portsmouth to what should be a cracking Tuesday night under the lights. Both sides are having a proper shocker this season, but someone's got to win this one, and I'm backing the home side to get the job done.

Swansea come into this on the back of a much-needed 2-0 victory over Oxford United - their first win in ages! Before that, they'd lost five straight games, including some absolute hammerings like that 4-1 defeat to Ipswich at home. But hey, a win's a win, and that should give them some confidence going into this one. At home, they've been scoring a decent 1.17 goals per game, though their defense has been about as solid as a paper bag, letting in 1.83 per game.

Portsmouth, on the other hand, are absolutely dreadful on their travels. Zero wins in their last five away games, scoring just 0.60 goals per game while shipping 2.20! They did manage a goalless draw at Charlton in their last outing, but let's be honest, that's hardly setting the world alight. Their only win in the last ten came at home against Millwall (3-1), but away from home? They're about as threatening as a kitten.

The head-to-head doesn't give us much to go on with only two previous meetings, but Portsmouth did smash them 4-0 last time out. Still, that was ages ago and form-wise, Swansea look slightly less terrible right now.

Both teams are struggling near the bottom, but Swansea have that home advantage and just got a win under their belts. Portsmouth can't buy a win away from home, and with their attack averaging less than a goal per game on the road, I'm struggling to see where they're getting their goals from.

Key Points:

• Swansea just ended a 5-game losing streak with a 2-0 home win

• Portsmouth haven't won any of their last 5 away games (0W-2D-3L)

• Pompey score just 0.60 goals per game away from home

• Swansea score 1.17 goals per game at home

• Both teams have leaky defenses (Swansea 1.83 conceded at home, Portsmouth 2.20 away)

• The Swans have a 70% both teams to score rate in recent games

Look, neither of these sides are setting the Championship alight, but Swansea have got that home advantage and some momentum from their recent win. Portsmouth are shocking on the road, and I can't see them turning that around here. The Swans should have enough to edge this one, even if it's not pretty!

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
2.07
+EV
+13.9%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN