Aldershot Town vs Altrincham Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this bottom-of-the-table clash down at the EBB Stadium. Aldershot Town are in a right old mess, sitting 23rd in the league with just 13 points from 21 games. Their recent form has been absolutely shocking - one win in their last ten matches, and get this, they haven't kept a single clean sheet in ten games! That's not just bad, that's relegation-form bad.

They've been shipping goals for fun lately, conceding 21 in their last ten matches (2.10 per game). Just look at some of these recent results: 5-1 thumping at York, 2-1 home loss to Woking, 1-0 defeat at Rochdale. The only bright spot was a 2-1 win over Fulham's kids in the cup, which hardly gets the pulses racing, does it?

Now for Altrincham, sitting pretty in 14th place with 26 points. They've been much more respectable recently - four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten. They've kept four clean sheets in that run too, which is more than Aldershot have managed all season! They put four past Scunthorpe in their last home game, though they did get stuffed 3-0 at Southend before that.

Here's the interesting bit though - Altrincham's away form is a bit hit and miss. They only score 0.40 goals per game on their travels, which is hardly going to set the world alight. But then again, they're playing against a defense that couldn't keep a clean sheet if their lives depended on it!

The head-to-head makes for fascinating reading. Aldershot have actually never lost at home to Altrincham in four meetings (2 wins, 2 draws). The last time these two met, it ended 3-2, and historically, both teams tend to find the net when they face each other.

Looking at the stats, Aldershot score 1.80 goals at home but concede 2.20. It's basically end-to-end stuff with no defensive organization whatsoever. Altrincham might not score many away from home, but even they should fancy their chances against this shambles.

The way I see it, Aldershot's defense is so porous that Altrincham are bound to score at least one. And given that Aldershot are at home where they do actually score goals (unlike their away form where they barely register), we should see both teams get on the scoresheet. 80% of Aldershot's recent games have seen both teams score, and that's not surprising when you can't defend to save your life.

The odds for both teams to score are sitting at 1.50, which seems about right given the circumstances. With Aldershot's defensive record being what it is, and their tendency to score at home, this looks like the most sensible play in what could be a bit of a goal-fest.