Exeter City vs Cardiff Prediction

Winless in ten matches, Exeter City is. Six draws and four defeats, their recent path contains. Most troubling, the 0-4 defeat to Rotherham was - a side with only 0.40 points per game, yet four goals they conceded at home. Against the league's summit Lincoln, 0-1 they fell. Even against Burton Albion, struggling near the bottom, only a 1-1 draw they managed. Score, they struggle to - only three goals in their last six home fixtures, zero victories in that time. Dark times for the hosts, these are.

Rising to second place, Cardiff has. Seventy-three points from thirty-six matches, a testament to their strength. Twenty-three goals in their last ten outings, they have netted. Four at Doncaster - a side averaging 2.00 points per game - showed their potency away from home. Even in defeat at Plymouth, five goals they scored. Against AFC Wimbledon and Luton, four and three goals they netted respectively. Resilient and dangerous, they remain. The automatic promotion places, within their grasp they are.

Twice this season, these sides have met. Twice, one-nil to Cardiff, the result was. History, a guide to the future it can be. Dominant in the head-to-head, the visitors are. Control the midfield with 63% possession they do, while Exeter manages only 56%. Create more chances, Cardiff will.

Key Points:

• Winless in ten, Exeter remains (0-6-4 record), including a 0-4 home defeat to struggling Rotherham (0.40 PPG)

• Second in League One, Cardiff sits (73 points, 22 wins, +30 goal difference)

• Both previous meetings this season won by Cardiff (1-0, 1-0)

• Exeter scored only three goals in last six home matches (0.50 per game), conceding eight

• Cardiff averaging 2.2 goals per game in away fixtures, including a 4-0 win at Doncaster (2.00 PPG)

• Goal expectancy favors the visitors (2.10 to 1.05)

• Cardiff's shot accuracy (36.4%) superior to Exeter's (26.9%) it is

Summary:

Bet on Cardiff to win at 1.80, you should. Strong with the force of promotion, they are. Value in the odds against a winless host, I sense. Sixty-two percent, the probability of success I estimate.