Başakşehir vs Rizespor Prediction

Clear, the path forward is. At sixth in the Süper Lig, Başakşehir stands, with 29 points and a goal difference of +13. In their last ten matches, six wins they have secured, with only one defeat. Strong, their recent form is, with 2.10 points per game and 20 goals scored against just 8 conceded.

Look at their recent results, one must. A 3-0 victory over Kayserispor, a 5-1 thrashing of Gazişehir Gaziantep, and a 2-0 away win at Samsunspor. Even against the mighty Fenerbahçe, a 1-1 draw they achieved. Only to league leaders Galatasaray did they fall, and that in the cup. At home, unbeaten in their last six they are, with three wins and three draws. Two goals per game they score at home, while conceding just one.

Rizespor, on the other hand, in twelfth place they languish, with 19 points and a -6 goal difference. Their recent form shows four wins, two draws, and four losses from ten. But away from home, troubling their record is. In their last four away matches, zero wins they have, with three losses and one draw. Only 0.5 goals per game they score on the road, while conceding 1.75. Recent away results tell a story: 3-1 loss to Göztepe, 1-0 loss to Beşiktaş, 2-0 cup defeat to Erzurum BB, and a 1-1 draw with Konyaspor.

The head-to-head history, overwhelmingly in Başakşehir's favor it is. Nine meetings there have been, with five wins for the home side, three draws, and just one victory for Rizespor. At home, Başakşehir has won three and drawn one of four encounters. Six clean sheets in nine meetings they have kept against Rizespor. The most recent meeting ended 0-0 in October 2025.

Statistical trends reveal more. For Başakşehir, improving their defensive record is, with points trending upward. Their three-game moving average shows 2.33 goals scored and 3.00 points earned. For Rizespor, declining all key metrics are: goals scored, goals conceded, and points. Their three-game moving average shows only 0.67 goals scored and 0.33 points. A consistency score of just 11.63% they have, meaning unpredictable and volatile they are.

In the numbers, truth one finds. Başakşehir averages 14 shots per game with 6 on target and 54% possession. Rizespor away manages 14.67 shots but only 3 on target, with shot accuracy of just 21.5%. The home side's pass accuracy of 84.3% versus Rizespor's away 79.0% shows who controls the game better.

Key Points:

• Başakşehir is unbeaten in their last six home matches (W3 D3 L0)

• Rizespor has failed to win any of their last four away matches (W0 D1 L3)

• Head-to-head favors Başakşehir heavily: 5 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in 9 meetings

• Başakşehir scores 2.00 goals per game at home; Rizespor scores only 0.50 away

• Rizespor concedes 1.75 goals per away game; Başakşehir concedes 1.00 at home

• Başakşehir's form is improving; Rizespor's is declining across all metrics

When a strong home team meets a struggling away side, obvious the outcome often is. At odds of 1.91, value in backing the home win there is. More likely than the implied probability of 52.4%, a Başakşehir victory is. Around 65% chance I estimate.