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Barletta welcome Cavese to their ground on 12 October in Serie C Girone C, and the numbers tell two very different stories about this fixture.
Barletta's home record over the last 20 games is the standout figure here: 12 wins, 6 draws and just 2 losses, averaging 2.1 points per game. They score 1.75 goals per game at home and concede only 0.85, keeping 11 clean sheets in 20 matches. That is a strong record, and it sets the baseline for what Cavese must overcome on the road.
Cavese's away record, by contrast, paints a very different picture. Across 20 away games over the last 11 months, they have won just 2, drawn 9 and lost 9, averaging 0.75 points per game. They score 0.85 goals per game on the road and concede 1.55, with only 5 clean sheets in 20. The gap between Barletta's home numbers and Cavese's away numbers is stark.
The counter-argument, however, comes from recent form. Cavese have won their last two matches, scoring 6 and conceding just 2, and sit on a 2-game winning run. Their last five games yield 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses at 1.4 points per game. Barletta, meanwhile, have lost their last two matches (scoring 1 and conceding 5) and have won just 1 of their last 10 across all venues. Their last five show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. The momentum swing is real, even if the venue records suggest the home side still holds the edge.
The head-to-head is dated, with only two meetings on record — both from 2022 and 2023 in Serie D. At Barletta's ground the sides drew 1–1, and at Cavese's ground Barletta won 1–0. With no meetings within the last 12 months, this record offers little guidance for the current contest.
Key Points:
- Barletta's home record: 12W 6D 2L in 20 games, 2.1 pts/game, 0.85 conceded per game
- Cavese's away record: 2W 9D 9L in 20 games, 0.75 pts/game, 1.55 conceded per game
- Cavese won their last 2 (scored 6, conceded 2); Barletta lost their last 2 (scored 1, conceded 5)
- Head-to-head is historical only (2 meetings, 2022–2023)
- Barletta's home record spans 12 months, so older results dilute the current picture
The conflicting evidence — Barletta's strong home record versus their poor recent form, and Cavese's recent momentum versus their weak away record — does not give me a clear underdog angle to back with conviction. This one is a No Bet.