Barrow vs Grimsby Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two scrap between Barrow and Grimsby. On paper, you'd think Grimsby have the edge sitting pretty in 6th place with 24 points, while Barrow are plodding along in 15th with 18. But football's not played on paper, is it?

Barrow have been looking decent lately, mind. Five wins, three draws, and just two losses in their last ten games. They've been solid at home too - only letting in 0.8 goals per game on their own patch and keeping clean sheets in half their recent matches. That 2-1 win at Walsall (who are top of the league!) shows they can turn up against the big boys.

Grimsby, on the other hand, are a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side. Five wins, five losses, and absolutely no draws in their last ten tells you everything you need to know - they're either brilliant or rubbish. They've put seven past Cheltenham but also shipped five against Brentford. Away from home, they've been leaky as a sieve, conceding two goals per game on their travels.

Here's the kicker though - Barrow have got Grimsby's number at home. Three wins from five meetings at their place, including a 3-0 win last time these two met. No draws in nine meetings between these sides ever, which tells you we're usually in for a proper game of football.

Grimsby might be higher in the table, but their away form is shocking. Barrow have been grinding out results and keeping things tight at the back. With the bookies offering 3.40 on a home win, that looks like proper value to me. Sometimes the league table lies, and this might be one of those times.