Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction

Silent Visitors, Beijing's Roar

Preview

At Workers' Stadium, a clash of trajectories unfolds. Fourth-place Beijing Guoan (48 pts) hosts eighth-place Dalian Yingbo (33 pts) in the Super League. Strong at home, Beijing is? Five wins in last ten games they boast, but four losses too. Yet examine closely, we must: those defeats came against top-three foes – Shanghai Port (2-3), Shanghai Shenhua (1-3), Chengdu Rongcheng (0-2). Against mid-to-lower sides? Dominant, they are: 4-0 vs Wuhan, 3-1 at Qingdao West Coast. Home goals flow like rivers: 2.20 per game. But leaky, their defense remains – 1.80 conceded per home outing.

Dalian Yingbo, on the road, shadows they become. Five away games recently: one win, one draw, three losses. Score goals? Barely, they do. Merely 0.60 per away game, with blanks drawn at Henan (0-4), Tianjin (0-2), and Shanghai Port (0-3). Clean sheets they keep often (40% rate last 10 games), but away, concede heavily they do – 2.00 goals per match. Against top-half opponents? A desert of goals: failed to net in three of four away fixtures.

History whispers wisdom: the lone head-to-head meeting saw Beijing triumph 2-0 at home. Patterns emerge, clear as Dagobah's skies.

Key Points:

  • Beijing averages 2.20 home goals but kept only 1 clean sheet in last 5 home games (vs 12th-place Wuhan)
  • Dalian scored 0 goals in 3 of last 5 away matches
  • Dalian's away xG: 0.60 – lowest among top 10 teams
  • H2H: 100% BTTS No rate (1/1 match)

Betting value, in silence it lies. Both Teams to Score – No, at 2.10 odds, beckons. Dalian's scoring drought against quality, likely continues.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE NO
Odds
2.10
+EV
+26.0%
Estimated Chance60%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN