Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Kejia Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one! Beijing Guoan are hosting Meizhou Kejia in what looks like a classic case of top-half vs bottom-half clash. The lads from Beijing are sitting pretty in 4th place with 54 points, while Meizhou are languishing in 15th with just 21 points - that's a massive 33-point gap between these sides, mate.

Looking at recent form, Beijing have been a bit up and down like a yo-yo. They've had some proper hammerings - put four past Changchun Yatai and three past Wofoo Tai Po - but also shipped four at home to Qingdao Jonoon, which ain't great reading for the home fans. Still, when they're on it, they can score for fun, averaging 2.6 goals per game at their own patch.

Meizhou, on the other hand, are having a right nightmare of a season. They've managed just two wins in their last ten and can't stop leaking goals at the back - 2.3 per game on average, and it gets even worse away from home where they're shipping 2.6 goals per match! They've only kept one clean sheet in ten games, which tells you all you need to know about their defensive solidity.

The head-to-head makes for interesting reading too. Beijing have the edge overall with three wins to Meizhou's one, and crucially, they smashed them 4-0 last time they met. At home against Meizhou, Beijing are unbeaten with one win and two draws.

When you look at the stats, Beijing dominate possession (61.3% vs 41.9%) and are much more clinical in front of goal (42% shot accuracy vs 33.8%). The goal expectancy has Beijing scoring 2.6 goals to Meizhou's 1.5, which suggests we're in for a few goals here.

The odds have Beijing as clear favorites at 1.45, which seems about right given the quality gap. With Beijing's home attacking prowess and Meizhou's defensive woes on the road, this looks like a straightforward home win to me.