Preview
Value VinnyBengaluru host SC Delhi in the Indian Super League on 10 October, and the numbers at this ground don't leave much room for debate.
Across 20 home games spanning 18 months, Bengaluru have won 8, drawn 7 and lost 5, averaging 1.45 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Ten of those 20 home matches ended in a clean sheet. That's a record that speaks for itself, and it sets the baseline for what to expect when the hosts open their gates.
SC Delhi's away record tells a very different story. In 9 away games, they've won just once, drawn twice and lost six. They average 1.89 goals conceded per game on the road and have kept only one clean sheet in those 9 trips. The gap between these two sets of numbers is stark, and it's the kind of mismatch that doesn't need a lot of fancy analysis to spot.
The head-to-head adds another layer. The only meeting within the last 12 months came on 15 February at Bengaluru's ground, and the hosts won 2–0. There have been no recent meetings at SC Delhi's ground. With just one meeting in the record, the head-to-head is thin, but it points in Bengaluru's direction and the clean sheet in that game fits the home defensive pattern.
Current form reinforces the picture. Bengaluru have won their last two matches, scoring 3 and conceding just 1. SC Delhi, meanwhile, have won none of their last five — three draws and two losses — and their most recent outing was a 1–2 defeat at ATK Mohun Bagan on 21 May. The contrast in momentum is clear.
The counter-argument is that Bengaluru's last five matches include three draws, and the 0–0 against Mumbai City at home on 25 April showed they can go quiet. SC Delhi have also kept three of their last five level, so a draw is not out of the question. The head-to-head sample is a single game, which limits its weight, and the home record stretches back 18 months, meaning some of those results are historical rather than current form.
But when you stack the home record, the away record, the H2H and the current form, the direction is clear. The market prices Bengaluru at 59.88% implied probability on the 1.67 quote. My read, based on the evidence above, puts their chance closer to 63%. That's a small but real edge, and in this game it's the kind of edge that compounds over a season.
Key Points:
- Bengaluru: 8W 7D 5L in 20 home games, 1.45 goals scored, 0.9 conceded, 10 clean sheets
- SC Delhi: 1W 2D 6L in 9 away games, 1.89 conceded per game, 1 clean sheet
- H2H: Bengaluru won 2–0 at their ground on 15 February 2026
- Bengaluru won their last two (3 scored, 1 conceded); SC Delhi won none of their last five
- Market implied 59.88% vs my estimate of roughly 63% — value on the home win
Verdict: I'm backing the home win.