Billericay Town vs Farnborough Prediction

Billericay Town enter this fixture in strong form and in a commanding position at home. Their record across 20 home games in this competition stands at 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 2.25 points per game. They have never failed to score in those 20 home matches, averaging 2.1 goals per game while conceding just 1.15. Nine of those 20 home games ended in a clean sheet. In their last five matches across all competitions, Billericay Town have won three, drawn one and lost one, scoring 11 goals and conceding 8. Their most recent result was a 3–0 home win over Torquay on 26 September.

Farnborough, by contrast, are in a difficult patch. Their last five matches have produced no wins, with two draws and three losses. They have scored just 4 goals in those five games, averaging 0.8 per game, and conceded 9, averaging 1.8 per game. Three of those five games saw them fail to score at all. Their away record across 20 games is 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, with 1.5 points per game, 1.85 goals scored per game and 1.65 conceded.

The head-to-head record is empty — there are no previous meetings on record between these two sides. That means the decision rests entirely on current form and venue records, and both of those point firmly in Billericay Town's favour.

The main counter-argument is that Farnborough's away record is not without positives: 14 of their 20 away games have seen over 2.5 goals, and 15 of 20 have seen both teams score. Billericay Town's recent form also includes a 1–3 FA Cup loss to Enfield Town at home on 19 September, which shows they are not impervious. However, that single cup defeat does not undermine the broader picture of a team that has won 14 of their last 20 home games.

Key Points:

• Billericay Town have won 14 of their last 20 home games, never failing to score in any of them

• Farnborough have won just 0 of their last 5 matches, scoring only 0.8 goals per game

• No head-to-head meetings exist, so current form and venue records are the sole guide

• Billericay Town's last 5 matches have all seen over 2.5 goals, while Farnborough's last 5 have seen under 2.5 in 3 of 5

• Farnborough have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches

The numbers tell a clear story, and I am comfortable with the price. I'm backing the Billericay Town home win.