Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Two teams at the wrong end of the table, both desperate for points - this could be proper scrappy stuff or it could be a complete dud. Let's break it down.

Blackburn are sitting 22nd with just 7 points from 9 games, and honestly, their home form has been shocking. Only one win in six at home, scoring less than a goal per game (0.83 to be exact). They've had some right hammerings too - 3-0 against Charlton, 2-0 against Coventry. But here's the thing, they did go to Hull and stick three past them, so there's some fight in there somewhere.

Sheffield Utd are even worse off, rock bottom with 6 points. Their away form is absolutely dreadful - winning just one in six on their travels, and they can't buy a goal on the road, averaging just 0.33 per away game. They got a rare 1-0 win over Watford recently, but then you remember they got hammered 5-0 by Ipswich, and you think, 'nah, still not convinced.'

When these two have met before, Sheffield Utd have generally had the edge, but at Blackburn's place, it's a different story - two wins from three meetings for the home side.

The stats paint a picture of two teams who struggle to score. Blackburn average 0.9 goals per game, Sheffield Utd just 0.4. Both let in 1.4 goals per game, which tells you their defences aren't exactly solid either.

Given Sheffield Utd can't score away from home and Blackburn have that slight home advantage, even though it's not much of one, I'm leaning towards the home side here. Sometimes in these relegation battles, the team playing at home just has enough to nick it, especially when the opposition can't hit a cow's arse with a banjo on their travels.

The odds of 2.40 for a Blackburn win look about right to me. There's not much value in the other markets - Under 2.5 goals is too short at 1.67 given both defences are leaky, and Both Teams to Score No at 1.80 doesn't really excite me either.

Sometimes you've got to hold your hands up and say this is a proper 'avoid' game, but I think there's just enough to suggest Blackburn might edge this. They're at home, they're desperate, and they're playing a team who can't score away. Simple as that.