Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund BK Prediction

Bodo/Glimt enter this fixture at their ground with a home record that is difficult to ignore: 16 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss across 20 home games, scoring 3 goals per game and conceding just 0.7. Kristiansund BK, by contrast, have won only 4 of their 20 away games, drawing 5 and losing 11, scoring 1.1 per game and conceding 1.95. The head-to-head tells the same story — Bodo/Glimt have won 13 of 15 meetings against Kristiansund BK, with the most recent on 6 April 2026 ending 0–3 at Kristiansund BK's ground. The older meetings at Bodo/Glimt's ground, from 2025 and 2024, produced scores of 7–1 and 4–0, though those are historical and I will not treat them as a current trend.

Bodo/Glimt's recent form across all venues shows 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five, including a 6–2 cup win at Rana on 1 October and a 3–2 home victory over Sandefjord on 14 September. Their last ten games have produced over 2.5 goals in every single match, and at home they have finished over 2.5 in 17 of 20. Kristiansund BK, however, are on a two-game losing run, having lost 1–3 to Rosenborg at home on 19 September and 0–3 to Molde away on 4 October. Their away record over 20 games shows 8 of those 20 ended without them scoring at all, and they have conceded 39 goals in those 20 away fixtures.

The counter-argument is that Bodo/Glimt are not flawless. They lost 1–2 at Brann on 20 September, a game in which Brann received a red card in the 68th minute, and suffered a 0–5 defeat to Bayern München in the Champions League on 10 September. While the Bayern game is a different competition and context, the Brann loss shows that Bodo/Glimt can be beaten in domestic football. Kristiansund BK did win 2–0 at home against Tromso on 6 September, and their away record does include 4 wins and 5 draws, meaning they are not without the ability to take points on the road. The 1–1 draw in the 2025 head-to-head at Kristiansund BK's ground also reminds us that this fixture has produced a level result before, though that meeting is now 15 months old.

Key Points:

• Bodo/Glimt have won 16 of 20 home games, scoring 3 per game and conceding 0.7

• Kristiansund BK have lost 11 of 20 away games and are on a two-game losing run

• The head-to-head spans 15 meetings with 13 Bodo/Glimt wins and 0 Kristiansund BK wins

• Bodo/Glimt have finished over 2.5 goals in all 10 of their last 10 matches

• Kristiansund BK failed to score in 8 of their 20 away games

The football points strongly to Bodo/Glimt, but the 1.09 price on a home win asks for a certainty that the 3 draws and 1 loss in 20 home games do not support, and the over 2.5 price at 1.17 sits on a home record of 17 out of 20 that leaves a 15% gap I cannot close. No Bet.