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Bodo/Glimt arrive at this Eliteserien fixture in strong form, having won four of their last five matches. At home, their record across 20 games is 16 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, with an average of 2.85 goals scored per match and just 0.65 conceded. Their last two home games produced a 1–0 Champions League win over Borussia Dortmund on 14 October and a 3–1 victory over Kristiansund BK on 10 October. The only blemish in recent form is the 3–4 Champions League defeat to Napoli on 20 October, a road game.
Valerenga travel to this fixture with a much less comfortable away record. Over 20 away games spanning the last 12 months — a period in which older results dilute current form — they have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 11, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. Their last three away games produced a 1–2 loss to KFUM Oslo on 12 October, a 4–1 cup win over Skeid on 17 September, and a 0–2 defeat to Lillestrom on 12 September. Their most recent match was a 3–1 home win over Brann on 18 October, but the away numbers paint a picture of a team that struggles on the road.
The head-to-head at this venue is thin in recent memory. The two most recent meetings were both at Valerenga's ground: Bodo/Glimt won 2–1 on 8 August 2026, and Valerenga won 3–1 on 1 November 2025. At Bodo/Glimt's ground, the meetings are historical — a 7–2 on 26 July 2025 and a 4–2 on 24 September 2023 — and do not reflect current form.
The best counter-argument for Valerenga is that they scored in both of the last two head-to-head meetings and have been involved in over-2.5-goal matches in 12 of their 20 away games. Bodo/Glimt, however, have kept clean sheets in 11 of their 20 home games and have failed to score in only 1 of those 20, which makes it difficult to see Valerenga finding the net here.
Key Points:
- Bodo/Glimt have won 16 of 20 home games, averaging 2.85 goals scored and 0.65 conceded per match
- Valerenga have lost 11 of 20 away games, averaging 2.2 goals conceded per match
- Bodo/Glimt won the most recent head-to-head meeting 2–1 at Valerenga's ground on 8 August 2026
- Bodo/Glimt's only recent defeat was a 3–4 Champions League loss to Napoli away on 20 October
- Valerenga's last three away games produced 1 win and 2 losses
The evidence points strongly to Bodo/Glimt, but the 1.15 price on a home win and the 1.19 price on over 2.5 goals both require a level of certainty that the record does not quite deliver — three home draws and one home loss in 20 games, plus the Napoli defeat, keep me from backing either at those prices. No Bet.
