Bodo/Glimt vs Viking Prediction

The strongest statistical signal in this fixture is Bodo/Glimt's home defence. Across 20 home games, they've won 15, drawn 3 and lost just 2, scoring 2.7 goals per game while conceding only 0.65. Eleven of those 20 home games ended in a clean sheet, and in 13 of the 20, at least one team failed to score. That 13-of-20 BTTS-no record is the single most telling figure in this preview, and it points squarely at a low-scoring outcome where one side keeps a blank sheet.

Viking's away numbers paint a less threatening picture. Over 20 away games, they've won 10, drawn 5 and lost 5, scoring 1.65 per game and conceding 1.05. Their clean sheet rate away is 6 in 20, and in 7 of those 20 away games at least one side kept a blank sheet. Against a Bodo/Glimt defence that concedes 0.65 per game at home, Viking's 1.65 away scoring looks like it will fall short.

The head-to-head at this venue is thin. There have been no meetings at Bodo/Glimt's ground within the last 12 months. The only recent meeting, back on 11 April 2026, was at Viking's ground and ended 5–0 to Viking. Older meetings at Bodo/Glimt's ground show a 2–4 loss and a 1–0 win for the hosts, but those are historical and don't carry much weight for current form. With the fixture's venue record essentially blank in the recent window, current form and the home/away aggregates have to do the talking.

The counter-argument is Bodo/Glimt's recent form. They've lost their last two games — a 0–1 home defeat to Valerenga on 24 October and a 3–4 away loss to Napoli in the Champions League on 20 October. In those two matches they scored 3 and conceded 5. Their xG against over the last five matches sits at 0.91 per game, yet they've actually conceded 6, suggesting the defence is underperforming its expected output. Viking, meanwhile, won their last game 3–1 at home to Tromso on 25 October and scored in all five of their recent matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game. That scoring output is real, and it keeps the door open for an away goal.

But the 13-of-20 BTTS-no record at home, the 0.65 conceded per game, and the 11 clean sheets in 20 home games are consistent, repeatable signals. Viking's away scoring of 1.65 per game doesn't crack that kind of defence easily. The price of 3.1 on both teams not to score sits well below what the home record supports, and that gap is where the value lives.

Key Points:

• Bodo/Glimt have won 15 of 20 home games, scoring 2.7 per game and conceding 0.65

• In 13 of 20 home games, at least one team failed to score

• Bodo/Glimt lost their last two matches (0–1 at home to Valerenga, 3–4 away to Napoli)

• Viking score 1.65 per game away and have won 10 of 20 away games

• The only recent head-to-head meeting (11 April 2026) was a 5–0 Viking win at their ground

My pick: both teams not to score.