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May the form be with you, friends. This one is a tale of two very different natures, clashing at Bologna's ground.
Bologna, you see, are a team that draws. Eight draws in their last twenty home games. That is a lot of level scores for a home side. Their last two meetings with Inter at this very ground — the 3–3 in May and the 1–1 in December — both ended level. The force of the draw is strong here, I tell you.
But Inter, they are a different creature. Ten wins in their last twenty away games, seven draws, three losses. In their last ten matches across all competitions, they have won seven, drawn one, lost two, and scored 25 goals at 2.5 per game. Their xG in recent matches sits at 2.71 per game, while Bologna's offensive output is 1.29. The gap in scoring power is wide, I say.
Bologna's last five tells a mixed story: one win (2–1 at Lecce), two draws, two losses. They scored 5 and conceded 6. Their current run is a single win. Inter's last five: three wins, one draw, one loss — though that loss came in the Champions League against Club Brugge, a 3–4 affair. In domestic play, Inter have been formidable: 3–0 at Parma, 5–3 against Udinese, 2–2 at Roma.
The head-to-head in recent months is telling. At Bologna's ground, two meetings, two draws. At Inter's ground, one meeting, Inter won 3–1. The older meetings — Bologna's 1–0 win in April 2025 and the 2–2 at Inter in January 2025 — are historical record, not current form. The dates stretch back 14 years across 30 meetings, and those older games dilute what we see now.
The counter-argument, you must hear: Bologna's home draw tendency is real. Eight of twenty home games ended level. The last two H2H at this ground were draws. Inter's most recent result was a loss. And Bologna's home record shows under 2.5 goals in 14 of 20 games. The draw is a strong force here, I tell you.
Yet the numbers do not lie. Inter's away record is 1.85 points per game to Bologna's home 1.15. Inter score 1.85 per game away; Bologna score 1.05 at home. Inter concede 1.05 away; Bologna concede 1.3 at home. In every meaningful comparison, Inter are the stronger side on the road.
Key Points:
- Bologna have drawn 8 of their last 20 home games, including both recent H2H meetings at this ground (3–3, 1–1)
- Inter's away record: 10W 7D 3L in 20 games; latest 10 all venues: 7W 1D 2L
- Inter scored 2.5 goals per game in their last 10; Bologna scored 1.1
- Inter's xG in recent matches: 2.71 per game; Bologna's: 1.29 per game
- Bologna's home record: 5W 8D 7L in 20 games; under 2.5 in 14 of 20
The evidence points strongly to Inter, but the draw-heavy nature of this venue and Bologna's home record keep my confidence just short of the level needed to recommend any eligible price with honest conviction. No Bet.