Bologna vs Sassuolo Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. We’ve got Bologna taking on Sassuolo in a Serie A clash that feels like a bit of a scrap between two sides trying to find their feet. Bologna have had a proper nightmare of a start to the campaign, sitting right at the bottom of the table with zero points from their first two games. It’s not exactly the best way to kick off a season, but they’ve got the home crowd behind them to try and turn the tide. They’ve struggled to find the back of the net consistently, falling short against Atalanta and Lazio in their opening fixtures.

On the other side of the pitch, Sassuolo are doing slightly better in the standings, but they’ve got a bit of a 'travel sickness' going on. They haven't managed a single win in their last three away trips, and they tend to let things get a bit loose at the back when they're on the road, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. They did manage a decent 2-1 win over Torino recently, but whether they can replicate that grit in front of a hostile Bologna crowd is the big question.

Now, when we look at the history between these two, it’s usually a bit of a goal-fest. They’ve had a lot of draws, but they also find the net quite often when they meet, with both sides scoring in 70% of their head-to-head encounters. With Bologna’s home goal average of 1.43 and Sassuolo’s tendency to leak goals on the road, you’d think we’d see some action.

However, when we crunch the numbers and look at the value, the bookies aren't giving us much of a 'free lunch' here. The odds for Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score are sitting pretty tight. When you compare the fair probabilities to the current prices, there just isn't enough of a cushion to make this a confident shout. It’s a bit of a toss-up, and in this game, I’d rather stay on the sidelines than risk the loot on a coin flip. It's a tough one to call with the current form on display.

Key Points:

• Bologna are currently bottom of the league with 0 points from 2 games.

• Sassuolo have failed to win any of their last 3 away trips.

• Sassuolo concede an average of 2.00 goals per game when playing away from home.

• Historically, both teams have scored in 70% of their head-to-head meetings.

• The goal market odds don't offer enough of a 6% edge to justify a confident bet.

The Verdict: No Bet.