Boston United vs Scunthorpe Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this National League clash. On paper, it's a tale of two teams heading in completely different directions.

Boston United are sitting mid-table in 15th with 16 points from 13 games. Their recent form's been a bit hit and miss - three wins, three draws, and four losses in their last ten. At home, they're only winning 33% of the time, scoring 1.33 goals but letting in 1.17. They've had some decent results like that 3-1 win at Gateshead, but they've also shipped five against Carlisle and three at home to Newcastle's U21 side.

Then you've got Scunthorpe, who're absolutely flying up in 4th place with 28 points. They've only lost one game all season! Their away form is particularly tasty - winning 67% of their travels, banging in two goals per game while only conceding 0.67. Recent results show they're no mugs either: 4-2 against King's Lynn, 3-1 versus Morecambe, and impressive 3-1 and 2-0 wins at York and Southend respectively.

The head-to-head's basically non-existent with just one 0-0 draw back in April, so we'll ignore that and focus on the here and now.

Both teams tend to score (60% BTTS rate), but Scunthorpe's defense is much tighter - only letting in a goal per game compared to Boston's 1.5. The visitors are averaging 1.9 goals scored versus Boston's 1.5.

When you look at the form table, Scunthorpe are picking up 1.8 points per game while Boston are managing just 1.2. That's a proper gap in quality right there.

The odds have Scunthorpe at 2.05 for the away win, which looks decent value to me. They're scoring for fun on the road and keeping things tight at the back. Boston's home form just doesn't scare me enough to think they can handle this Scunthorpe side.