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Ceara arrive at Botafogo SP's ground in commanding form. Their last five matches read 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, with 7 goals scored and just 4 conceded. The last two of those wins were 1–0 victories — at home against Criciuma on 8 October and away at Avai on 3 October — and the current run is two wins with two goals scored and none conceded. Over their last ten games across all venues, Ceara have collected 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at 1.7 points per game, scoring 1.2 per game and conceding 1.1. That is a side that is winning, keeping clean sheets, and not leaking goals.
Botafogo SP, by contrast, are in a far less comfortable place. Their last five matches produced 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded. The last ten games tell a starker story: 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at 0.8 points per game, conceding 1.6 per game. At home over 20 games, Botafogo SP have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses at 1.3 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.15. That is a solid but not dominant home record, and the recent home results — a 0–1 loss to Vila Nova on 3 October and a 1–3 defeat to Goias on 14 September — show the vulnerability.
The head-to-head is mostly historical. The only meeting within the last 12 months was on 20 June 2026 at Ceara's ground, where Botafogo SP won 1–0. Before that, the fixture dates back to 2023 and 2024, with Ceara winning three of four older meetings, including 4–1 and 3–0 at their own ground and 1–4 at Botafogo SP's. Those older results are not current form, but they do remind us that Ceara have handled this fixture well in the past. The one recent meeting, however, went Botafogo SP's way.
The matchup tables show Ceara's away record over 20 games at 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses (0.9 ppg), which is weaker than Botafogo SP's home record. That is the main counter-argument: Botafogo SP's home numbers are respectable, and the only recent head-to-head was a Botafogo SP win. But the current form gap is significant. Ceara are unbeaten in five, scoring 1.4 per game and conceding 0.8, while Botafogo SP are conceding 1.2 per game and have lost six of their last ten.
Key Points:
- Ceara are unbeaten in their last five matches (3W 2D 0L), scoring 7 and conceding 4.
- Botafogo SP have lost six of their last ten games, conceding 1.6 per game.
- The only recent head-to-head (20 June 2026) was a 1–0 Botafogo SP win at Ceara's ground.
- Ceara's away record over 20 games (4W 6D 10L) is weaker than Botafogo SP's home record (7W 5D 8L).
- Both teams' last five matches produced 3 under-2.5 results each, but neither side has a dominant low-scoring pattern.
No Bet. The form gap favours Ceara, but Botafogo SP's home record and the single recent head-to-head keep this from being a certainty. I would rather pass than risk it.