Brabrand vs Fremad Amager Prediction
Brabrand vs Fremad Amager: Three Straight Meetings Told by Fremad Amager
Preview
The most telling evidence in this fixture is the head-to-head. In the last 12 months, Fremad Amager have won all three meetings against Brabrand. At Brabrand's ground in June, Fremad Amager came away with a 1–2 victory. At Fremad Amager's ground in May and March, both games ended 1–0 in their favour. Three wins in three recent meetings is a pattern that does not go away quietly, and it lands squarely on this venue, where Fremad Amager have the edge.
The venue records reinforce that picture. Over 20 away games, Fremad Amager have recorded 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.5 points per game. Brabrand at home over 20 games sit at 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses, 1.25 points per game. Fremad Amager's away record is the stronger of the two, and the scoring and conceding figures are identical on both sides — 1.35 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded per game. The difference is in the results column, where Fremad Amager convert their scoring into more wins on the road.
Brabrand's recent form is not without merit. They won 2–0 away at VSK Århus on 2 October, and their last five matches yield 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at 1.6 points per game. At home, they beat Viborg 2–1 in the DBU Pokalen on 16 September and drew 1–1 with Roskilde on 13 September. However, their home record over 20 games tells a story of inconsistency: seven draws in 20 home matches means Brabrand are as likely to draw as to win at this ground. Fremad Amager, by contrast, have only 6 draws in 20 away games.
Fremad Amager's own recent form is a mixed bag. They lost 0–3 at home to B 93 on 2 October, but before that they won 2–1 away at FA 2000 and drew 1–1 at home with Naestved. Their last five matches also produce 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at 1.6 points per game. In the last 10 across all venues, Brabrand edge them slightly on points per game (1.5 to 1.3) and on goals scored per game (1.8 to 1.1), but that is an all-venues figure and does not isolate the home-versus-away dynamic that matters here.
The counter-argument is that Brabrand's home record, while unimpressive, is not a disaster. Seven draws in 20 home games means they are not easily beaten at this ground, and Fremad Amager's 0–3 defeat on 2 October suggests they are not in peak defensive form. The market prices Fremad Amager at 2.38, implying a 42.02% chance, with Brabrand at 2.6 (38.46%) and the draw at 3.3 (30.30%). The bookmaker sees this as a tight three-way contest, and the numbers largely agree. Fremad Amager's away record and the head-to-head give them a genuine edge, but Brabrand's tendency to draw at home and Fremad Amager's recent defensive fragility keep this from being a certainty.
Key Points:
- Fremad Amager have won all three recent head-to-head meetings, including a 1–2 win at Brabrand's ground in June 2026.
- Fremad Amager's away record (8W 6D 6L, 1.5 ppg over 20 games) is stronger than Brabrand's home record (6W 7D 7L, 1.25 ppg over 20 games).
- Brabrand have drawn 7 of their last 20 home games, making them difficult to beat but also difficult to back for a win.
- Both teams' last five matches show 2W 2D 1L at 1.6 points per game, with Fremad Amager's most recent game a 0–3 home defeat.
- The market prices this as a close three-way contest, with no outcome above 42% implied probability.
No Bet. The head-to-head and venue records point to Fremad Amager, but the margin is not wide enough to call this a sure thing, and the available prices do not offer the confidence I require before staking a single coin.