Brann vs Molde Prediction

Molde are the team to watch here, and I'm not saying that lightly. Four wins and a draw in their last five, with 20 goals scored and just 5 conceded, is the kind of form that makes you reach for the beer and nod your head. Their current run is three straight wins — 15 goals scored, 3 conceded — and the xG numbers back it up: 2.59 created per game against 1.48 faced. That's a team that's not just winning, it's winning by a mile. Now, I know what you're thinking — "Pajimon, they've only played one away game in that stretch." And you'd be right. The only away game in those five was the 2-2 draw at Lillestrom on 11 October. Over 20 away games spanning 12 months, Molde's record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses, scoring 2.2 per game and conceding 1.6. That's not a team that's comfortable on the road, even if the last few weeks have been something else entirely.

Brann at home are a different proposition. Over 20 home games, they've won 10, drawn 1 and lost 9, scoring 1.65 per game and conceding 1.45. That's a solid home record, and their last five games show 3 wins and 2 losses with 11 goals scored. The problem is those two losses — 2-3 at Lillestrom and 1-3 at Valerenga — and Brann's current run is just one win. They're not in crisis, but they're not rolling either. You know what it's like when the bra's not quite sizzling the way it should — you still eat, but you're not celebrating.

The head-to-head at this venue is thin. There have been no meetings at Brann's ground in the last 12 months. The older meetings — 0-3 and 1-3, both Molde wins — are historical and don't tell you much about what's coming on 1 November. The two recent meetings were both at Molde's ground: Brann won 2-1 in July 2026, and Molde won 4-0 in November 2025. So the last time these two met, it went both ways, and the most recent one went Brann's way.

The market has Molde as the favourite at 2.23, with Brann at 2.92 and the draw at 4.2. My own read is that Molde's form is too strong to ignore, even with the away record giving a small pause. I'd put Molde's chance of winning at around 52%, which sits above the market's 44.84% implied probability. The scoring numbers on both sides — Brann averaging 1.65 at home and Molde averaging 2.2 away — suggest this won't be a low-scoring affair, but the match winner is what matters here.

Key Points:

• Molde have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 20 and conceding 5, with a current run of 3 wins (15 scored, 3 conceded)

• Brann's home record is 10W 1D 9L in 20 games, but their last 5 includes two losses to Lillestrom and Valerenga

• No meetings at Brann's ground in the last 12 months; older meetings (0-3, 1-3) are historical only

• Molde's away record over 20 games is 7W 4D 9L, which tempers the current form

• Both teams' scoring averages (Brann 1.65 home, Molde 2.2 away) point to a goal-rich game

My pick is the away win for Molde.